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NOAH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.080
1 Day change
-1.95%
52 Week Range
12.840
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Noah Holdings Ltd is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The stock has mixed technical indicators, a cautious analyst outlook, and weak financial performance in the latest quarter. While hedge funds are buying, there are no strong positive catalysts to justify immediate entry.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating some bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral, and the moving averages are bearish, with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 10.217, with resistance at 10.561 and support at 9.873.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Noah Holdings received multiple awards for wealth management services, which could enhance its reputation and attract clients. Hedge funds have increased their buying activity significantly.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • JPMorgan downgraded the stock to Neutral from Overweight, citing a challenging revenue outlook and a cautious recovery trajectory. The latest financials show a significant drop in net income (-88.32% YoY) and EPS (-87.10% YoY).

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 12.48% YoY to $733.25M. However, net income dropped sharply by 88.32% YoY to $12.82M, and EPS fell by 87.10% YoY to $0.04. Gross margin remained flat at 100%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

JPMorgan downgraded the stock to Neutral with a reduced price target of $12, down from $14.70, citing challenges in revenue growth and business recovery.

Wall Street analysts forecast NOAH stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NOAH stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 10.080
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
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0
Current: 10.080
sliders
Low
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Averages
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JPMorgan
Overweight
to
Neutral
downgrade
$12
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$12
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
downgrade
Overweight
to
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan downgraded Noah Holdings to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $12, down from $14.70. The company's revenue outlook in 2026 remains challenging following the Q4 miss, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan expects consensus estimates to move lower and is turning more cautious on Noah's business recovery trajectory in 2026.
UBS
Neutral
downgrade
$11 -> $10
2025-12-22
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$11 -> $10
2025-12-22
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Noah Holdings to $10 from $11 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The price target reduction reflects higher provision expenses and ongoing sentiment overhang, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While contingent liabilities may weigh on market sentiment in the near term, a dividend yield of 16% and Rmb5.0B in cash and short-term investments provide downside protection, the firm adds.
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