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NOAH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.780
1 Day change
-0.08%
52 Week Range
12.840
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has a strong dividend yield and improved net income, the technical indicators, lack of positive trading signals, and reduced analyst price target suggest waiting for better entry points.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.112), RSI (36.28) is neutral, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near support levels (S1: 11.362), but there is no strong bullish momentum.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity (+112.32% last quarter). The company has a strong dividend yield (16%) and a robust cash position (Rmb5.0B). Net income and EPS have grown significantly YoY (+62.55% and +63.16%, respectively).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • UBS has lowered the price target to $10 due to higher provision expenses and contingent liabilities. Technical indicators do not show a clear bullish trend. No recent news or congress trading data to act as a catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue declined by -7.43% YoY to $632.9M, but net income increased by 62.55% YoY to $218.5M. EPS also rose significantly by 63.16% YoY to 0.62. Gross margin remains stable at 100%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

UBS maintains a Neutral rating and has lowered the price target from $11 to $10, citing higher provision expenses and sentiment overhang. However, the firm acknowledges downside protection due to a strong dividend yield and cash reserves.

Wall Street analysts forecast NOAH stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast NOAH stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 11.790
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 11.790
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
UBS
Neutral
downgrade
$11 -> $10
AI Analysis
2025-12-22
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$11 -> $10
AI Analysis
2025-12-22
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Noah Holdings to $10 from $11 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The price target reduction reflects higher provision expenses and ongoing sentiment overhang, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While contingent liabilities may weigh on market sentiment in the near term, a dividend yield of 16% and Rmb5.0B in cash and short-term investments provide downside protection, the firm adds.
JP Morgan
Peter Zhang
Hold
to
Buy
Upgrades
$12
2025-04-09
Reason
JP Morgan
Peter Zhang
Price Target
$12
2025-04-09
Upgrades
Hold
to
Buy
Reason

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