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NEM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Newmont Corporation (NEM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
116.210
1 Day change
-2.26%
52 Week Range
134.880
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Newmont Corporation (NEM) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term investment strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock benefits from strong analyst upgrades, a bullish outlook on gold, hedge fund buying, and geopolitical uncertainty driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold. Despite a slight pre-market dip, the long-term outlook remains favorable.

Technical Analysis

The stock's technical indicators show mixed signals. While the MACD is negative and expanding downward, suggesting bearish momentum, the RSI is neutral at 30.701. The moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the current price is near a key support level (S1: 116.387). This suggests the stock may be approaching a potential rebound zone.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a slightly bullish sentiment, with more call activity relative to puts. The implied volatility is high (IV Percentile: 93.23, IV Rank: 80.93), reflecting heightened market interest and potential price movement.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong analyst upgrades and price target increases, with targets ranging from $150 to $

  • Hedge fund buying has surged by 364.37% over the last quarter.

  • Geopolitical uncertainty (U.S.-Iran conflict) is driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

  • Revenue growth of 20.63% YoY in Q4 2025 and improved gross margin (+32.17% YoY).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market price decline of -1.80%.

  • Net income and EPS declined YoY in Q4 2025 (-7.27% and -4.03%, respectively).

  • MACD indicates bearish momentum, and the stock is trading near a key support level, which could lead to further downside if breached.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Newmont reported a 20.63% YoY revenue increase to $6.818 billion, driven by strong gold prices. However, net income declined by 7.27% YoY to $1.301 billion, and EPS dropped by 4.03% YoY to 1.19. Gross margin improved significantly to 60.52%, up 32.17% YoY, reflecting operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are overwhelmingly bullish on Newmont, with multiple upgrades and price target increases. Recent upgrades include Citi raising its target to $150, Bernstein to $157, and Stifel to $175. Analysts cite a bullish outlook on gold, a new CEO with clear guidance, and geopolitical uncertainty as key drivers for the stock.

Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NEM stock price to fall
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 118.900
sliders
Low
89
Averages
110.85
High
125
Current: 118.900
sliders
Low
89
Averages
110.85
High
125
Citi
NULL -> Buy
upgrade
$118 -> $150
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$118 -> $150
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
upgrade
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Newmont to $150 from $118 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Bernstein
Bob Brackett
Market Perform -> Outperform
upgrade
$121 -> $157
2026-02-27
Reason
Bernstein
Bob Brackett
Price Target
$121 -> $157
2026-02-27
upgrade
Market Perform -> Outperform
Reason
Bernstein analyst Bob Brackett upgraded Newmont to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $157, up from $121. The firm cites its bullish view on gold for the upgrade. In addition, a new CEO with a clear agenda, achievable guidance, and a "rational reconciliation" with its largest joint venture partner are catalysts for Newmont shares.
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