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NCNO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy nCino Inc (NCNO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
18.080
1 Day change
3.49%
52 Week Range
33.920
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/10
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Based on the data provided, nCino Inc. does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The stock's financial performance shows declining profitability despite revenue growth, and there are no significant positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals to justify immediate action. Holding off on investment until clearer growth trends or stronger signals emerge is advisable.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.476, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting, suggesting weakening momentum. The RSI is neutral at 72.694, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong directional trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 17.956), which could act as a barrier to further price increases.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a bullish sentiment with a low put-call ratio, but the trading volume is relatively low, and implied volatility is high at 63.37, indicating potential price swings.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions in the stock, with a 356.68% increase in buying activity. Analysts generally maintain positive ratings, with several firms highlighting growth potential in FY27 driven by AI-led expansion and subscription revenue growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's net income and EPS have significantly declined YoY, down -144.79% and -143.75%, respectively. Analysts have broadly lowered price targets, reflecting concerns about valuation and modest growth compared to peers. Additionally, there is no recent news or congress trading data to act as a catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, revenue grew by 5.87% YoY to $149.67M, but net income dropped sharply by -144.79% YoY to $8.34M. EPS also declined by -143.75% YoY to $0.07, despite an improvement in gross margin to 61.41%, up 2.92% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views. While most maintain positive ratings (Buy or Overweight), price targets have been lowered across the board, with the highest target now at $26. Analysts highlight growth potential in FY27 but express concerns about modest growth and the need for improved profitability.

Wall Street analysts forecast NCNO stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NCNO stock price to rise
8 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.080
sliders
Low
27
Averages
34.2
High
38
Current: 18.080
sliders
Low
27
Averages
34.2
High
38
Needham
Mayank Tandon
Buy
to
Buy
downgrade
$38 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
Reason
Needham
Mayank Tandon
Price Target
$38 -> $25
AI Analysis
2026-04-01
downgrade
Buy
to
Buy
Reason
Needham analyst Mayank Tandon lowered the firm's price target on nCino to $25 from $38 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Stephens
Stephens
Overweight
downgrade
$34 -> $26
2026-04-01
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$34 -> $26
2026-04-01
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Stephens lowered the firm's price target on nCino to $26 from $34 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Given strong FY26 bookings and improving churn, the firm believes visibility into the FY27 subscription revenue growth outlook of 9%-10% is "high," says the analyst, who raising the firm's FY27 adjusted EPS estimate to $1.29 from $1.01.
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