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MTG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
25.880
1 Day change
-1.93%
52 Week Range
29.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The company's recent financial performance shows declining revenue and net income, hedge funds are selling, and there are no significant positive catalysts or strong trading signals to support an immediate buy decision. While the stock is trading near a support level, the lack of momentum and mixed sentiment suggests holding off for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 52.445, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near a key support level (S1: 25.915), but there is no strong bullish signal.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • EPS increased by 4.17% YoY in Q4 2025, and gross margin remained stable.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue dropped by 0.93% YoY, net income declined by 8.33% YoY, hedge funds are selling heavily, and there are no recent news or significant insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue decreased to $298.65M (-0.93% YoY), net income dropped to $169.31M (-8.33% YoY), while EPS increased to $0.75 (+4.17% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Barclays recently lowered the price target to $28 from $30, citing weaker-than-expected Q4 earnings and reduced reserve releases. Analysts are maintaining a neutral stance with no strong buy signals.

Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 26.390
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
Current: 26.390
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
Barclays
Equal Weight
downgrade
$30 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$30 -> $28
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $28 from $30 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm reduced estimates following the company's Q4 report. MGIC"s earnings missed due to lower sales and a smaller than expected reserve release, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Barclays
Equal Weight
maintain
$28 -> $30
2026-01-06
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$28 -> $30
2026-01-06
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $30 from $28 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm sees additional upside in select consumer finance name in 2026. A "benign' credit environment sets the stage for loan growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays also forecasts a better mortgage origination market in 2026. The firm adjusted price targets as part of its 2026 outlook.
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