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MSBI Should I Buy

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0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Midland States Bancorp Inc (MSBI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
23.000
1 Day change
0.70%
52 Week Range
24.570
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/03
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Midland States Bancorp Inc (MSBI) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the technical indicators show bullish momentum, the overbought RSI and lack of significant positive catalysts suggest caution. Additionally, financial performance in the latest quarter shows declining revenue and negative net income, which raises concerns about the company's growth potential. Analysts have mixed ratings with modest price target increases, but there is no strong consensus for a significant upside. Given the user's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, holding off on buying this stock is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish momentum with MACD above 0 and positively expanding, bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and a current price near resistance levels. However, RSI at 82.539 indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a potential pullback.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts note improvements in credit culture and the sale of higher-risk assets, which could lead to more stability in the future.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue dropped significantly (-39.78% YoY) in the latest quarter, and net income remains negative. No recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity to drive positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 39.78% YoY to $51.62M. Net income improved but remains negative at -$5.29M. EPS increased to -0.24, up 60% YoY. The financials show some improvement in losses but highlight challenges in revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed ratings with modest price target adjustments. DA Davidson raised the target to $24, Keefe Bruyette to $22, and Piper Sandler to $25.50. Analysts highlight credit culture improvements but remain cautious due to higher-than-expected credit costs.

Wall Street analysts forecast MSBI stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MSBI stock price to fall
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 22.840
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
Current: 22.840
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
DA Davidson
Neutral
maintain
$23 -> $24
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$23 -> $24
AI Analysis
2026-01-26
maintain
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson raised the firm's price target on Midland States to $24 from $23 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares after its Q4 results. Earnings missed estimates, but efforts to return the franchise to a core community banking organization with more consistency and credit stability carry the promise of a cleaner 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
maintain
$19 -> $22
2026-01-26
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$19 -> $22
2026-01-26
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Midland States to $22 from $19 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
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