MNSO Should I Buy
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MINISO Group Holding Ltd (MNSO) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the CEO's planned share purchase indicates confidence, the company's financial performance is weak, with declining net income and EPS. Additionally, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and the stock's short-term price movement probabilities are not favorable. It is better to wait for clearer positive signals or improved financial performance before investing.
The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, the RSI indicates the stock is oversold, and moving averages show a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below its pivot level of 15.442, with key support at 14.783 and resistance at 16.101.
The CEO's announcement to purchase at least HK$50 million worth of shares demonstrates confidence in the company's future growth and governance.
Weak financial performance in the latest quarter, with net income and EPS declining significantly. Analysts have lowered price targets and remain neutral, citing concerns about profitability.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 32.71% YoY to 6.25 billion, but net income dropped by -117.57% YoY to -141.5 million. EPS also declined by -116.92% YoY to -0.11, and gross margin fell slightly to 46.39%.
BofA has lowered the price target to $20.40 from $21.70 and maintains a Neutral rating, citing profitability concerns and reducing EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 by 5% and 4%, respectively.
