LYB Should I Buy
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LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner, long-term investor. The stock shows mixed signals with no clear upward momentum in technical indicators, weak financial performance in the latest quarter, and a lack of strong proprietary trading signals. While analysts have recently upgraded price targets and ratings, the negative financial trends and lack of significant positive trading sentiment suggest holding off on a purchase for now.
The MACD is negative and contracting, RSI is neutral at 50.944, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 75.352, with key resistance at 80.49 and support at 70.214.
Recent analyst upgrades from RBC Capital, Alembic Global, and Citi, citing potential earnings upside due to elevated petrochemical prices and supply disruptions. The stock has risen 32.5% over the past year, reflecting some positive sentiment.
Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue dropping by 9.18% YoY, net income declining by 76.32% YoY, and EPS down by 76.34% YoY. Gross margin also dropped significantly by 54.22%. BofA's downgrade citing unsustainable market tailwinds and potential material weakness in petrochemical prices post-Q2.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $7.09B (-9.18% YoY), net income fell to -$143M (-76.32% YoY), EPS declined to -0.44 (-76.34% YoY), and gross margin dropped to 4.72 (-54.22% YoY). These trends indicate significant financial weakness.
Analysts are mixed but leaning positive. RBC Capital, Alembic Global, and Citi have raised price targets and ratings, citing potential earnings upside. However, BofA downgraded the stock to Underperform, citing unsustainable market tailwinds and potential weakness in petrochemical prices.
