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LBRT Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Liberty Energy Inc (LBRT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
28.320
1 Day change
2.02%
52 Week Range
28.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Liberty Energy Inc (LBRT) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are positive catalysts such as hedge fund buying, bullish moving averages, and analyst upgrades with higher price targets, the company's recent financial performance shows significant declines in net income and EPS. Additionally, insider selling and lack of recent news catalysts add caution. The technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment, but not enough to warrant an immediate buy recommendation.

Technical Analysis

The stock's technical indicators present mixed signals. The MACD is negative and expanding downward, suggesting bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 57.851, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 27.676, with resistance at 28.682 and support at 26.669.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio indicates a slightly bearish sentiment, while the option volume put-call ratio is extremely low, suggesting limited put activity relative to calls. Implied volatility is high at 68.92, with an IV percentile of 81.67, indicating elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
0
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their buying activity (up 1599.10% last quarter).

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with several upgrades to Buy and targets ranging from $28 to $

  • Bullish moving averages indicate positive price momentum.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 1486.88% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 shows a sharp decline in net income (-73.62% YoY) and EPS (-74.19% YoY).

  • No recent news or event-driven catalysts to support a strong buy decision.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Liberty Energy reported revenue growth of 10.09% YoY to $1.04 billion, but net income dropped significantly by 73.62% YoY to $13.69 million. EPS also declined by 74.19% YoY to $0.08. Gross margin improved by 22.49% YoY to 9.04%. While revenue growth is positive, the sharp decline in profitability is a concern.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on the stock, with several upgrades and price target increases. Recent upgrades include BofA (Buy, $31), Citi (Buy, $32), and Piper Sandler (Overweight, $32). The consensus reflects optimism about the company's power business and long-term growth prospects, but some analysts remain cautious due to execution risks and geopolitical concerns.

Wall Street analysts forecast LBRT stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LBRT stock price to fall
5 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 27.760
sliders
Low
13
Averages
18.91
High
24
Current: 27.760
sliders
Low
13
Averages
18.91
High
24
Goldman Sachs
Ati Modak
Neutral
maintain
$26 -> $30
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Ati Modak
Price Target
$26 -> $30
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Ati Modak raised the firm's price target on Liberty Energy to $30 from $26 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. While geopolitical risks could create near-term challenges, there are early signs of dislocations which could present opportunities when compared to fundamentals, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm does not expect current geopolitical concerns to meaningfully impact long-term customer plans as significant portions of the activity increases are structural in offsetting decline rates and increasing production capacity, the firm says.
BofA
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$31
2026-02-17
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$31
2026-02-17
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
BofA upgraded Liberty Energy to Buy from Neutral with a $31 price target.
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