LBRT Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how LBRT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, LBRT sees a -3.55% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.99% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.22%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
LBRT Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
943.57M
-12.22%
-17.13%
Gross Margin
7.38%
-55.76%
-51.13%
Operating Margin
1.43%
-87.60%
-85.63%
Net Margin
5.50%
-35.97%
-15.12%
EPS
0.31
-41.51%
-29.55%
No Data Available
LBRT Earnings Analysis
Liberty Energy Inc Corporation (LBRT.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Strong Financial Performance: Revenue for 2024 reached $4.3 billion, with a net income of $316 million and adjusted EBITDA of $922 million, showcasing strong financial performance despite industry challenges.
Capital Management Effectiveness: The full year return on capital employed was 17%, and the cash return on capital invested was 21%, exceeding the 13-year S&P average, indicating effective capital management.
Shareholder Value Commitment: Since July 2022, Liberty has returned $550 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, reflecting a commitment to shareholder value.
Record Operational Efficiency: In 2024, a DigiPrime fleet set a company record with 7,143 hours pumped in a year, averaging nearly 600 hours per month, demonstrating operational efficiency and productivity.
Power Generation Expansion Plans: Liberty expects to deploy an additional 400 megawatts of power generation capacity by the end of 2026, indicating significant growth potential in the power generation sector.
Negative
Revenue Decline Analysis: Revenue declined by 9% year-over-year, falling from $4,700,000,000 in 2023 to $4,300,000,000 in 2024.
EBITDA Decline: Adjusted EBITDA decreased significantly from $1,200,000,000 in 2023 to $922,000,000 in 2024, reflecting a substantial drop in profitability.
Revenue Decline Analysis: In Q4 2024, revenue was $944,000,000, representing a sequential decline of 17% due to market headwinds and budget exhaustion.
Profitability Decline in Q4: Fourth quarter adjusted net income plummeted to $17,000,000 from $76,000,000 in the prior quarter, indicating severe profitability challenges.
Net Debt Increase Concerns: Net debt increased by $67,000,000 from the prior year, ending 2024 at $171,000,000, raising concerns about financial leverage and liquidity.
LBRT FAQs
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LBRT Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Liberty Energy Q4 2024 misses EPS forecast
LBRT.N
1.25%Positive
The earnings call presents mixed signals: strong shareholder returns and new partnerships are positive, but declining revenue, regulatory challenges, and softened frac pricing are concerning. The Q&A highlights management's optimism about power generation but also exposes uncertainties in pricing and fleet management. Given the market cap of $3.38 billion, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement (-2% to 2%) as positive and negative factors balance out.
