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KEY Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy KeyCorp (KEY) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
19.590
1 Day change
-0.84%
52 Week Range
23.340
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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KeyCorp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are neutral or bearish, options data suggests bearish sentiment, and the company's financial performance shows declining net income and EPS despite revenue growth. Analyst ratings are mixed, with some optimism but no strong consensus for significant upside. While there are no major negative catalysts, there are also no compelling positive drivers to warrant immediate action.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding downward, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 32.763, showing no clear signal. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. The stock is trading near its first support level (S1: 20.266), with resistance at R1: 22.23.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The put-call volume ratio of 1.42 indicates bearish sentiment, with more puts being traded than calls. Implied volatility is elevated at 35.18, with an IV percentile of 83.27, suggesting higher uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts note potential tailwinds from loan growth, net interest margin, and capital return. Some analysts have raised price targets recently.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Options sentiment is bearish, and technical indicators show no clear bullish momentum. No recent congress trading data or significant insider/hedge fund activity.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased significantly to $1.882 billion (up 156.75% YoY), but net income dropped to $475 million (-270.25% YoY), and EPS fell to 0.43 (-253.57% YoY). Gross margin remained unchanged.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed ratings with some optimism. Morgan Stanley raised the price target to $26, citing tailwinds, but kept an Equal Weight rating. Baird upgraded to Neutral from Underperform, citing valuation. JPMorgan raised the price target to $24.50, citing steady fundamentals. However, no strong consensus for significant upside exists.

Wall Street analysts forecast KEY stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KEY stock price to rise
8 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 19.760
sliders
Low
18
Averages
23
High
25
Current: 19.760
sliders
Low
18
Averages
23
High
25
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
maintain
$24 -> $26
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$24 -> $26
AI Analysis
2026-03-02
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on KeyCorp to $26 from $24 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm is increasing price targets by a median 8% across the midcap banks group. While noting that recent outperformance means "the bar is higher from here," the firm remains optimistic on the group, citing tailwinds from loan growth, net interest margin and capital return.
Baird
Underperform -> Neutral
upgrade
$19
2026-02-24
Reason
Baird
Price Target
$19
2026-02-24
upgrade
Underperform -> Neutral
Reason
Baird upgraded KeyCorp to Neutral from Underperform with an unchanged price target of $19. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade following yesterday's selloff. The regional banks pulled back yesterday on AI fears, which were exacerbated by a blog post over the weekend, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird believes the various scenarios outlined in the post, namely 11% unemployment and potential credit events from a weakening U.S. consumer "seem excessive." KeyCorp shares, trading at 1.5-times tangible book value, offer a "generally balanced risk/reward trade-off," the firm contends. Baird believes banks should be net beneficiaries from AI rather than experience "meaningful disruption."
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