Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis for KEY stock:

Technical Analysis

The stock is showing bearish signals with several negative technical indicators:

• Currently trading at $16.995 in regular market session
• Down from recent high of $17.70, showing weakness in price action
• Trading below both 60-day SMA ($17.85) and 200-day SMA ($16.32)
• RSI at 38.85 indicates oversold conditions but not extreme

Fundamental Factors

• P/E ratio of -55.73 indicates negative earnings
• Market cap of $18.74B suggests moderate size regional bank
• Recent insider activity: Chief Risk Review Officer sold 1,016 shares
• Upcoming dividend of $0.20 with ex-date on March 4, 2025

Analyst Sentiment

Current consensus is Moderate Buy with average price target of $20.77. However, recent analyst actions have been mixed:

• Barclays maintained Hold rating with $21 target
• Wells Fargo maintained Buy rating with $22 target
• JPMorgan initiated coverage with Hold rating

Recommendation: SELL

Rationale:

1. Multiple technical indicators showing weakness
2. Trading below key moving averages
3. Negative insider sentiment with recent sales
4. Upcoming dividend may create selling pressure
5. Mixed analyst ratings suggest uncertainty

Consider waiting for stronger technical signals or fundamental improvements before establishing new positions.

Based on the available data and analyst insights, here's a comprehensive price prediction for KEY stock in 2025:

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently trading around $17.00, showing a consolidation pattern. Technical indicators suggest:

• RSI at 38.85 indicates neutral-to-oversold conditions
• MACD showing slight bearish momentum (-0.04)
• Trading below both 60-day SMA ($17.85) and 200-day SMA ($16.32)

Analyst Consensus & Price Targets

According to recent analyst reports:

• Consensus Rating: Moderate Buy
• Average Price Target: $20.65
• High Target: $23.00
• Low Target: $18.00

Key Growth Drivers

Recent developments supporting positive outlook:

• Strong client momentum with 3% growth in relationship households
• 4% increase in client deposits
• Record AUM of $61 billion in 2024
• Strong performance in fee-based businesses (wealth management, commercial payments, investment banking)

2025 Price Prediction

Based on technical analysis, analyst consensus, and fundamental factors:

Base Case: $20.65 (consensus target)

• Supported by continued execution of strategic initiatives
• Expected earnings growth of 31.9% YoY to $1.53 per share in 2025

Bull Case: $23.00 (street high)

• Driven by better-than-expected fee income growth
• Further improvement in deposit trends

Bear Case: $18.00 (street low)

• Risk of economic slowdown
• Potential margin pressure from interest rates

The S1 support level for KEY Stock is $16.74 ,The R1 resistant level for KEY Stock is $17.89.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-28, the price of KEY Stock was $17.24.

The target price for KEY Stock according to analyst rating is 20.77, with the highest price target at 23.00 and the lowest at 18.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on KEY Stock overall.

The market cap of KEY is $18.8B.

Based on the financial data and analyst ratings, KeyCorp (KEY) appears fairly valued at current levels. The bank's net income declined significantly from $1.8B in 2022 to $824M in 2023, while ROE dropped from 13.54% to 7.11% [Relevant Data]. However, analysts maintain a moderately bullish outlook with a consensus price target of $20.65, suggesting 21.5% upside potential from current levels. The stock trades at a P/E ratio of -59.08x which reflects temporary earnings pressure rather than fundamental issues. Recent analyst coverage shows 8 Strong Buy, 2 Moderate Buy and 10 Hold ratings, indicating balanced sentiment. The bank's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91 suggests a sound financial structure despite near-term challenges.

KeyCorp is a bank-based financial services company, which operates through its subsidiary, KeyBank National Association (KeyBank). Through KeyBank and certain other subsidiaries, it provides a range of retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance, student loan refinancing, commercial mortgage servicing and special servicing, and investment banking products and services to individual, corporate, and institutional clients. It has two business segments: Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank. The Consumer Bank serves individuals and small businesses by offering a variety of deposit and investment products, personal finance and financial wellness services, lending, student loan refinancing, mortgage and home equity, credit card, treasury services, and business advisory services. The Commercial Bank consists of the Commercial and Institutional operating segments. The Commercial operating segment serves the needs of middle market clients.

Based on analyst forecasts and market data, KeyCorp (KEY) stock is projected to reach $20-22 by 2030, driven by expected improvements in operational efficiency and digital banking initiatives. The moderate growth forecast reflects the bank's strong regional presence in Ohio and New York markets while factoring in ongoing industry challenges. Recent analyst consensus shows a "Moderate Buy" rating with 8 Strong Buy, 2 Moderate Buy, and 10 Hold ratings, suggesting steady but measured growth potential.

KEY has a total of 17333 employees.