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HNRG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
17.730
1 Day change
-6.34%
52 Week Range
24.700
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's recent capacity contracts, which lock in favorable pricing through 2028, provide strong revenue visibility and growth potential. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the long-term outlook and analyst upgrades support a buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, suggesting bullish momentum. However, the RSI is in the neutral zone, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key resistance is at 20.07, with support at 15.87. The stock has an 80% chance to decline slightly in the short term (-2.26% in the next day, -1.66% in the next week) but shows potential for a 5.95% gain over the next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low open interest put-call ratio indicates bullish sentiment, while the high option volume put-call ratio suggests increased put activity, possibly as a hedge.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Recent capacity contracts locking in favorable pricing through

  • Analyst upgrades and increased price targets, with one analyst raising the target to $

  • Potential for additional long-term deals with hyperscaler customers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Bearish moving averages indicate short-term weakness.

  • Lack of recent news or congress trading data.

  • Stock trend analysis suggests short-term downside risk.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for the latest quarter.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is positive, with recent upgrades and price target increases. Northland raised its target to $34, citing strong contract pricing, while Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy with a target of $22.50, highlighting the company's strategic capacity hedging.

Wall Street analysts forecast HNRG stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HNRG stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 18.930
sliders
Low
28
Averages
28.5
High
29
Current: 18.930
sliders
Low
28
Averages
28.5
High
29
Northland
Jeff Grampp
Outperform
maintain
$29 -> $34
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
Reason
Northland
Jeff Grampp
Price Target
$29 -> $34
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland analyst Jeff Grampp raised the firm's price target on Hallador Energy to $34 from $29 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after the company announced the sale of substantially all its remaining capacity through the summer of 2028 at pricing that is about double its current contract book. The firm sees this as "potentially just part 1 of an additional 1-2 deals with some potential customers looking for 10+ year deals," the analyst tells investors.
Jefferies
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
2026-03-26
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
2026-03-26
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Jefferies upgraded Hallador Energy to Buy from Hold with a price target of $22.50, up from $17.50, following the company's signing of a two-year capacity contract, essentially locking in about a $470/MW-day capacity price against its previously uncontracted capacity. Not only did this price "meaningfully exceed" the latest print of $230/MW-day, but it also "curiously" only hedged thru Summer 2028 as it specifically left open Fall 2028 for presumed hyperscaler capacity offtake, the analyst tells investors.
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