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HLMN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.190
1 Day change
2.76%
52 Week Range
10.850
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has positive news regarding its redevelopment project and hedge fund interest, the financial performance shows significant declines in net income and EPS. Analysts maintain a Buy rating but have lowered price targets, indicating cautious optimism. Technical indicators and options data do not strongly support an immediate entry point. For now, holding off on investing may be prudent until clearer positive trends emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating a bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 58.349, and moving averages are converging, signaling no clear trend. The stock price is near the pivot level of 8.131, with resistance at 8.479 and support at 7.784.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Hillman Solutions received the 2026 James A. Wuenker Growth Award for its redevelopment project, which highlights its commitment to local economic growth. Hedge funds have significantly increased their buying activity (+144.03% last quarter).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 145.90% over the last month. Financial performance shows significant declines in net income (-230.77% YoY) and EPS (-200.00% YoY). Analysts have lowered price targets due to mixed Q4 results and conservative guidance.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 4.46% YoY to $365.1M, but net income dropped by -230.77% YoY to $1.59M. EPS declined by -200.00% YoY to $0.01, and gross margin decreased slightly to 37.77% (-0.79% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a Buy rating but have lowered price targets recently. Stifel lowered the target to $12, Benchmark to $14, and Canaccord to $14, citing mixed Q4 results and conservative guidance.

Wall Street analysts forecast HLMN stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HLMN stock price to rise
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 7.970
sliders
Low
10
Averages
13.05
High
15
Current: 7.970
sliders
Low
10
Averages
13.05
High
15
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
Buy
downgrade
$12
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
Reason
Stifel
W. Andrew Carter
Price Target
$12
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Stifel analyst W. Andrew Carter lowered the firm's price target on Hillman Solutions to $12 from $12.20 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm maintains "a positive overall view" after attending Hillman's inaugural investor day, the analyst tells investors.
Benchmark
Buy
maintain
$15 -> $14
2026-02-20
Reason
Benchmark
Price Target
$15 -> $14
2026-02-20
maintain
Buy
Reason
Benchmark lowered the firm's price target on Hillman Solutions to $14 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Hillman reported "solid" Q4 results earlier this week, but the stock is off greater than 10% as slight tweaks to the outlook resulted in low-to-mid-single digit reductions in consensus revenue and EBITDA estimates, notes the analyst, who would be a "buyer of the dips and likely conservative outlook."
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