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HLMN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.140
1 Day change
-1.03%
52 Week Range
10.850
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Hillman Solutions Corp (HLMN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock lacks strong positive catalysts, has mixed financial performance, and no significant trading signals. While hedge funds are buying, the technical indicators and options data suggest a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. It is better to hold off on investing until stronger positive signals emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 36.498, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 7.976) with resistance at R1: 8.954.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
12
Buy
0

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are buying, with a 144.03% increase in buying activity over the last quarter. Analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating despite lowering price targets, citing conservative guidance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin also declined slightly. No recent news or congress trading data is available to provide additional support. Technical indicators suggest a lack of upward momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 4.46% YoY to $365.1M, but net income dropped significantly to $1.6M (-230.77% YoY), and EPS fell to $0.01 (-200.00% YoY). Gross margin declined slightly to 37.77% (-0.79% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts from Benchmark and Canaccord lowered their price targets to $14 from $15 but maintained a 'Buy' rating, citing conservative guidance and mixed Q4 results. The stock is down over 10% recently due to slight reductions in revenue and EBITDA estimates.

Wall Street analysts forecast HLMN stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HLMN stock price to rise
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 8.230
sliders
Low
10
Averages
13.05
High
15
Current: 8.230
sliders
Low
10
Averages
13.05
High
15
Benchmark
Buy
maintain
$15 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-20
Reason
Benchmark
Price Target
$15 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-20
maintain
Buy
Reason
Benchmark lowered the firm's price target on Hillman Solutions to $14 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Hillman reported "solid" Q4 results earlier this week, but the stock is off greater than 10% as slight tweaks to the outlook resulted in low-to-mid-single digit reductions in consensus revenue and EBITDA estimates, notes the analyst, who would be a "buyer of the dips and likely conservative outlook."
Canaccord
Brian McNamara
Buy
downgrade
$15 -> $14
2026-02-18
Reason
Canaccord
Brian McNamara
Price Target
$15 -> $14
2026-02-18
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord analyst Brian McNamara lowered the firm's price target on Hillman Solutions to $14 from $15 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said Hillman Solutions (HLMN) reported mixed Q4 results that were below on consensus on sales but better on adjusted EBITDA and in line on adjusted EPS and where guidance came in below expectations which Canaccord views as conservative.
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