GEL Should I Buy
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Genesis Energy LP (GEL) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, the options data reflects negative sentiment, and the recent financial performance shows significant declines in key metrics. While there are some positive catalysts, such as EBITDA growth expectations and dividend increases, the overall outlook does not align with a strong buy recommendation.
The MACD is negatively expanding, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is at 17.036, signaling the stock is oversold. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near key support levels. The short-term outlook suggests further downside potential with a 70% chance of a -2.7% decline in the next week and -8.99% in the next month.
Genesis Energy reported a 10.5% YoY revenue increase in Q4 2025 and a significant improvement in operating cash flows. The company increased its dividend to $0.18 per unit and anticipates adjusted EBITDA growth of 15%-20% in 2026, driven by offshore transportation and crude oil imports.
The company missed its Q4 EPS estimate by $0.24, with a significant YoY decline in net income (-107.02%) and EPS (-106.90%). Gross margin dropped to 0, and the stock's technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. Options data also reflects negative sentiment.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 10.5% YoY to $440.76 million, but net income dropped by 107.02% YoY to $5.003 million. EPS fell by 106.90% YoY to $0.04, and gross margin dropped to 0. However, operating cash flows improved significantly to $110.8 million, up from $74.0 million in Q4 2024.
There is no recent analyst rating or price target data available for GEL.
