EXPI Should I Buy
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eXp World Holdings Inc (EXPI) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows declining revenue, and there are no strong positive catalysts to suggest immediate upside potential. While the company has launched a new division, the overall sentiment and market trends do not support a strong buy recommendation.
The technical indicators are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is neutral but leaning towards oversold, and the moving averages indicate a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its key support level of 6.789, with resistance at 7.129.
The launch of the eXp New Homes division could provide long-term growth opportunities by helping agents succeed in the new construction market.
Soft U.S. agent trends and weak existing home sales data are weighing on the company's performance. Analysts have lowered the price target, reflecting these challenges.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -0.35% YoY to $78.59M. However, net income improved by 35.68% YoY to -$12.89M, and EPS increased by 33.33% YoY to -$0.08. Despite some improvement in profitability metrics, the company is still operating at a loss.
Analysts maintain a Buy rating but have lowered the price target from $13 to $11.50 due to weak U.S. agent trends and housing market conditions. Improvement is expected in the spring selling season, but this is speculative at this point.
