CVLT Should I Buy
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Commvault Systems Inc (CVLT) does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the company has shown solid financial growth in revenue and net income, the stock is under pressure due to mixed Q3 results, a significant stock price decline, and ongoing investigations into potential securities law violations. The technical indicators are mixed, with bearish moving averages and neutral RSI, suggesting no clear upward momentum. Additionally, the absence of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals and recent negative sentiment from analysts and news further support a hold recommendation.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating some bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 62.589, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support and resistance levels suggest limited upside potential in the short term, with resistance at 92.034 and 94.95.
Strong YoY growth in revenue (+19.50%), net income (+61.35%), and EPS (+66.67%) in Q3
Analysts acknowledge Commvault's strong market position and technological innovation in data protection and cyber-resilience.
Significant stock price drop (-31.1%) following mixed Q3 results and concerns over SaaS ARR growth slowdown.
Ongoing investigations into potential securities law violations.
Bearish technical indicators and lack of clear upward momentum.
Analysts have lowered price targets significantly, reflecting uncertainty in execution and growth outlook.
In Q3 2026, Commvault reported a revenue increase of 19.50% YoY to $313.83M, net income growth of 61.35% YoY to $17.78M, and EPS growth of 66.67% YoY to $0.40. However, gross margin slightly declined by 0.21% YoY to 80.28%.
Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, citing mixed Q3 results and concerns over SaaS ARR growth. While many maintain positive ratings (Overweight/Outperform), they highlight execution risks and the need for consistent performance to regain investor confidence.
