Stock Price & Analysis

Analysis and Insights

Technical Analysis:

CVLT's stock price has shown resilience, with a current price of $150 as of 2025-03-11. The pre-market percentage change of +1.03% indicates positive momentum. The stock's technical indicators suggest a potential buy signal, with RSI values indicating oversold conditions and MACD nearing a bullish crossover.

Valuation Analysis:

CVLT's valuation metrics show the stock is trading near its average analyst target price of $177, with a range of $140 to $200. The recent price increase suggests potential for further upside, with some analysts raising their targets.

Sentiment and Analyst Ratings:

Analyst sentiment is mixed but leaning positive, with a recent upgrade from William Blair to Outperform. Institutional investors show a slight increase in positions, indicating confidence in CVLT's future.

Financial Health:

CVLT's revenue growth and stable margins highlight strong financial performance. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, and the company's net margin is improving, indicating efficient operations.

Conclusion:

Given the positive momentum, strong financials, and analyst upgrades, CVLT stock presents a buying opportunity. The stock is undervalued with potential for further growth.

The price prediction for CVLT stock in 2025 is $185 per share. This forecast is supported by strong financial performance, including a gross margin of 81.17% and a net margin of 20.13%, as well as positive analyst sentiment with an average price target of $183.8 and a high estimate of $200.

The S1 support level for CVLT Stock is $147.7 ,The R1 resistant level for CVLT Stock is $169.1.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-14, the price of CVLT Stock was $159.09.

The target price for CVLT Stock according to analyst rating is 187.50, with the highest price target at 200.00 and the lowest at 173.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on CVLT Stock overall.

The market cap of CVLT is $7.0B.

Analysis and Insights

CVLT appears overvalued based on its current valuation metrics and market sentiment.

1. Valuation Metrics: CVLT's PE ratio of 39.13 and EV/EBITDA of 68.38 indicate a premium valuation compared to industry peers.

2. Price-to-Sales Ratio: The PS ratio of 7.72 suggests investors are pricing in significant future growth.

3. Price-to-Book Ratio: The PB ratio of 24.22 is unusually high, signaling potential overvaluation relative to book value.

4. Analyst Sentiment: While some analysts have upgraded the stock, the average 12-month target price of $177.00 has already been surpassed, with the stock trading at $179.31.

5. Insider Activity: Recent insider sales, including a 1.1% reduction in holdings by the Chief Commercial Officer, may indicate cautious sentiment among insiders.

Conclusion

CVLT's elevated valuation metrics, mixed analyst sentiment, and insider selling activity suggest the stock may be overvalued at current levels. Investors should exercise caution and consider waiting for a pullback or clearer signs of sustained growth before entering.

Commvault Systems, Inc. is a data management company. The Company provides a unified Data Management Platform that spans all the users' data regardless of where it lives (on-premises, hybrid, or multi-cloud) or how it is structured (legacy applications, databases, virtual machines (VMs), or containers). It offers solutions through all combinations of software subscriptions, integrated appliances, partner-managed, or Software as a Service (SaaS) via its Metallic portfolio. The Company's offerings are organized into four categories: Data Recovery, Data Compliance and Governance, Data Storage, and Data Security. Its Commvault Backup and Recovery (CBR) provides backup, verifiable recovery and cost-optimized cloud workload mobility, helping to ensure data availability, even across multiple clouds. Commvault Disaster Recovery (CDR) provides a replication and disaster recovery solution from a single extensible platform, which is managed through the Command Center.

The price prediction for CVLT stock by 2030 is expected to reach $190 to $210. This forecast is based on the company's strong position in the growing data backup and recovery market, driven by increasing ransomware threats and cybersecurity needs, as well as positive analyst sentiment with an average 12-month target of $183.8 and a high estimate of $200.

CVLT has a total of 2779 employees.