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CMC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Commercial Metals Co (CMC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
61.430
1 Day change
2.23%
52 Week Range
84.870
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Commercial Metals Co (CMC) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and increased dividends, the recent financial performance, including a significant drop in net income and EPS, combined with a lack of strong trading signals, suggests waiting for a more favorable entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 29.792, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level of 58.489, with resistance at 61.507. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue increased by 21.7% YoY in Q2 2026, indicating strong market demand.

  • Dividend increased by 11%, showcasing shareholder-friendly policies.

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with some maintaining 'Overweight' and 'Buy' ratings.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market and regular market trading showed significant price declines (-7.58% and -4.69%, respectively).

  • Q2 Non-GAAP EPS missed expectations by $0.

  • Net income and EPS have significantly dropped YoY in Q1

  • No strong trading signals or significant hedge fund/insider activity.

Financial Performance

In Q2 2026, revenue rose 21.7% YoY to $2.13 billion, and core EBITDA increased by 114% YoY to $297.5 million. However, Q1 2026 showed a significant decline in net income (-200.89% YoY) and EPS (-202.60% YoY), indicating inconsistent financial performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views. KeyBanc has a neutral 'Sector Weight' rating, while Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, and Jefferies have raised price targets and maintained positive ratings ('Overweight' and 'Buy'). Price targets range from $80 to $85, suggesting upside potential in the long term.

Wall Street analysts forecast CMC stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CMC stock price to rise
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 60.090
sliders
Low
74.61
Averages
81.45
High
85
Current: 60.090
sliders
Low
74.61
Averages
81.45
High
85
Goldman Sachs
NULL
to
Buy
initiated
$74
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$74
AI Analysis
2026-03-31
New
initiated
NULL
to
Buy
Reason
In a sector note on Americas Steel, Goldman Sachs assumed coverage of Commercial Metals with a Buy rating and $74 price target. Goldman Sachs said it is bullish on U.S. steel equities \"as a result of sustained higher prices due to section 232 steel tariffs moving import costs up while also constraining supply,\" adding that it sees \"above average demand growth in infrastructure as well as pockets of growth in private non-residential construction.\" However, given the uncertainty in the current macro environment, the firm said it favors \"lower beta companies set to accelerate free cash flow and realize higher through cycle margins as they benefit from metal margin expansion and product diversification.\"
JPMorgan
Overweight
downgrade
$85 -> $83
2026-03-27
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$85 -> $83
2026-03-27
New
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Commercial Metals to $83 from $85 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm views the company's fiscal Q2 report as solid with a "constructive" near-term outlook. The Middle East conflict is having a limited impact on Commercial Metals, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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