CARR Should I Buy
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Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is not a good buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows significant declines, and there are no strong positive catalysts to support a buy decision. It is better to wait for improved fundamentals or technical signals before considering an investment.
The technical indicators for CARR are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, the RSI is neutral at 42.336, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below its pivot level of 56.87, with key support at 54.414 and resistance at 59.326.
Hedge funds are increasing their positions, with buying up by 101.57% over the last quarter. Analysts have maintained some positive ratings, with RBC, Citi, and Baird highlighting growth potential in commercial HVAC and mega-projects.
The company's Q4 financials show significant declines across key metrics: revenue down 6.04% YoY, net income down 97.92% YoY, EPS down 97.91% YoY, and gross margin down 22.65% YoY. Analysts have lowered price targets recently, citing demand uncertainties and uneven terrain in the sector. There is no recent news or congress trading data to provide additional support.
In Q4 2025, Carrier Global reported a sharp decline in financial performance. Revenue dropped to $4.837 billion (-6.04% YoY), net income fell to $53 million (-97.92% YoY), EPS dropped to $0.06 (-97.91% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 20.28% (-22.65% YoY).
Analysts have mixed views. Barclays and Wells Fargo recently lowered their price targets to $67 and $58, respectively, citing demand uncertainties. However, RBC, Citi, and Baird raised their targets earlier this year, highlighting growth in commercial HVAC and mega-projects. The average sentiment is cautious, with a mix of Overweight, Buy, and Neutral ratings.
