CARR Should I Buy
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Carrier Global Corp (CARR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's recent financial performance shows significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS, while Congress trading data indicates caution with more selling activity. Despite positive analyst ratings and hedge fund buying trends, the lack of strong proprietary trading signals and weak technical indicators suggest holding off on purchasing this stock for now.
The MACD histogram is positive at 0.565, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 63.543, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear directional trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 63.687, with resistance at 67.156 and support at 60.219. Overall, technical indicators suggest no strong buy signal.
Analysts have raised price targets recently, with firms like RBC, Baird, and Citi maintaining Outperform or Buy ratings. Hedge funds are increasing their positions, with a 101.57% increase in buying over the last quarter. Carrier is also benefiting from strong growth in Commercial HVAC and multi-year secular drivers like datacenter growth.
The company's Q4 financials show significant declines in revenue (-6.04% YoY), net income (-97.92% YoY), and EPS (-97.91% YoY). Congress members have sold the stock in recent months, indicating caution. The stock has a 50% chance of declining by -10.46% in the next month based on candlestick pattern analysis.
In Q4 2025, Carrier Global reported a revenue decline to $4.837 billion (-6.04% YoY), net income dropped to $53 million (-97.92% YoY), and EPS fell to $0.06 (-97.91% YoY). Gross margin also decreased to 20.28% (-22.65% YoY), reflecting significant challenges in profitability.
Analysts remain optimistic, with recent upgrades in price targets from RBC ($74), Baird ($72), and Citi ($72). Outperform and Buy ratings dominate, though some firms like Morgan Stanley and Mizuho have lowered their targets, citing uneven terrain and sector challenges.
