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AUR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.120
1 Day change
6.19%
52 Week Range
8.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock shows weak technical indicators, limited financial growth, and lacks significant positive catalysts to justify immediate investment. Holding off for better signals or catalysts would be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for AUR are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative and contracting, RSI is neutral at 46.01, and moving averages are in a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock closed below its pivot level of 4.221, with key support at 4.023 and resistance at 4.42. Overall, the trend suggests further downside or consolidation in the near term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Put-Call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, but the overall trading volume is relatively low, which limits the reliability of this signal.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds have increased their buying activity by 167.46% over the last quarter, indicating institutional interest. Additionally, the autonomous driving sector is gaining traction, with competitors like Zoox and Waymo expanding their services, which could indirectly benefit Aurora in the long term.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analyst sentiment has softened, with TD Cowen lowering its price target to $4.70 from $5.50 due to a softer-than-expected 2026 guide. Competitors like Zoox and Waymo are advancing rapidly, which could overshadow Aurora's progress.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Aurora reported no revenue growth (0.00% YoY) and a net loss of -206 million, which improved by 6.74% YoY. EPS remained at -0.11 with no change YoY. The gross margin is negative (-500), showing no improvement. Overall, the financials indicate a lack of meaningful growth or profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

TD Cowen recently lowered its price target for AUR to $4.70 from $5.50, maintaining a Hold rating. While the company has provided updates on its 2026-2027 outlook, the softer 2026 guidance has tempered analyst expectations.

Wall Street analysts forecast AUR stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AUR stock price to rise
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.880
sliders
Low
4
Averages
10.36
High
15
Current: 3.880
sliders
Low
4
Averages
10.36
High
15
TD Cowen
Hold
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-02-13
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-13
downgrade
Hold
Reason
TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on Aurora Innovation to $4.70 from $5.50 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm said Aurora delivered encouraging updates supporting a path for 2026 acceleration followed by a 2027 inflection. The 2026 guide was softer than estimates, impacting their target.
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
downgrade
$6 -> $4
2025-11-26
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$6 -> $4
2025-11-26
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Aurora Innovation to $4 from $6 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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