ARR Earnings

ARR reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2026-02-18, showcasing a revenue of 236.47M against an estimate of 42.60M, resulting in a 455.11% surprise. The EPS was 0.71, surpassing the expected 0.74 by -4.05%. The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following ARR's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2026-02-18, the stock price moved by 0% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0% change. Historically, ARR's stock price tends to shift by an average of 4.57% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and 4.12% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ARR's annual revenue to reach 62.34M, while the EPS is projected at 0.77. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised downward by -5.47% and EPS estimates revised downward by -13.67% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between ARR's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were revised downward by -5.47%, while EPS estimates moved revised downward by -13.67%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, ARR's stock price typically moves by 4.57% in the 10 days before its earnings and 4.12% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.77 and revenue of 62.34M.

The earnings call reveals a mixed sentiment. Positive elements include increased book value and constructive medium-term outlook due to potential Fed easing. However, concerns arise from vague management responses and decreased hedge ratio, indicating potential risk. The capital raised and stock buybacks suggest confidence, but unclear guidance on future trends and regulatory impacts add uncertainty. The company's market cap suggests moderate sensitivity to these factors, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.