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AON Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aon PLC (AON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
316.900
1 Day change
-1.26%
52 Week Range
402.490
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Aon PLC is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown strong financial performance in its latest quarter and analysts maintain generally positive ratings, the lack of immediate trading signals, hedge fund selling trends, and potential short-term price decline suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. The RSI is neutral at 65.652, and moving averages are converging, signaling no clear trend. The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 341.558), with potential downside risk to its support level (S1: 317.057).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong Q4 financial performance with YoY increases in revenue (+3.69%), net income (+136.45%), EPS (+138.41%), and gross margin (+4.78%). Analysts maintain generally positive ratings with price targets averaging above the current stock price.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 143.78% increase in selling activity last quarter. Recent news of AI-driven insurance chatbots caused a temporary selloff in the sector, highlighting potential disruption risks. Stock trend analysis suggests a 70% chance of short-term price declines (-0.56% next day, -2.41% next week, -4.31% next month).

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Aon PLC reported strong financials: Revenue increased to $4.3 billion (+3.69% YoY), net income rose to $1.693 billion (+136.45% YoY), EPS surged to $7.82 (+138.41% YoY), and gross margin improved to 45.35% (+4.78% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts generally maintain positive ratings with price targets averaging above the current price. Recent upgrades include Mizuho raising its rating to Outperform with a $397 target and Morgan Stanley maintaining Overweight with a $390 target. However, some analysts have lowered price targets, citing potential headwinds in organic growth and margin pressures.

Wall Street analysts forecast AON stock price to rise
16 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AON stock price to rise
11 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 320.960
sliders
Low
326
Averages
396.67
High
443
Current: 320.960
sliders
Low
326
Averages
396.67
High
443
Mizuho
Yaron Kinar
Neutral -> Outperform
upgrade
$398 -> $397
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
Reason
Mizuho
Yaron Kinar
Price Target
$398 -> $397
AI Analysis
2026-02-27
upgrade
Neutral -> Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Yaron Kinar upgraded Aon plc to Outperform from Neutral with a price target of $397, down from $398. The firm adjusted ratings in the insurance property and casualty group following the recent sector selloff. There is "low disruption threat" to the insurance brokerage names who focus on middle-market and larger accounts from AI, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho believes disintermediation risk is "geared to mass market personal lines and the smaller end of SME."
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
downgrade
$400 -> $390
2026-02-26
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$400 -> $390
2026-02-26
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Aon plc to $390 from $400 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated targets in the property and casualty insurance group post the Q4 reports. Insurers with "more differentiated" underwriting performance are likely to see better share price performance, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Morgan Stanley says that while pricing will remain weak and AI headwinds "are not abating," those with "differentiated" underwriting and "margin durability will be king."
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