AON Should I Buy
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Aon PLC is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at the moment. While the company has shown strong financial performance in the latest quarter, technical indicators are bearish, and hedge funds are selling. Additionally, options data indicates a bearish sentiment with a high put-call ratio. Analysts' ratings are mixed, and there are no strong positive catalysts to justify immediate entry. It would be prudent to wait for a more favorable entry point or stronger positive signals.
The MACD is negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 32.207, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 311.606, with resistance at 352.438. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.
Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 3.69% YoY, net income up 136.45% YoY, and EPS up 138.41% YoY.
Recent initiatives like the $25 million war-risk insurance facility for Ukraine and the appointment of Joe Peiser as CEO of Risk Capital to enhance capabilities in managing complex risks.
Hedge funds are selling, with a 143.78% increase in selling activity over the last quarter.
Bearish technical indicators and weak stock trend projections (-4.16% in the next month).
Mixed analyst ratings with some downgrades and concerns about organic growth headwinds in the insurance broker sector.
In Q4 2025, Aon PLC reported revenue of $4.3 billion, up 3.69% YoY. Net income increased significantly to $1.693 billion, up 136.45% YoY. EPS rose to 7.82, up 138.41% YoY, and gross margin improved to 45.35%, up 4.78% YoY. The company demonstrated strong profitability and growth.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Some firms like Citi and Cantor Fitzgerald raised price targets to $412 and maintain Buy/Overweight ratings, citing confidence in execution. However, others like BofA and Goldman Sachs lowered price targets, citing concerns about organic growth and a softening insurance cycle. The consensus reflects cautious optimism but not a strong buy signal.
