AMR Should I Buy
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Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc (AMR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. The stock's technical indicators, financial performance, and lack of positive catalysts suggest waiting for a more favorable entry point. While the RSI indicates a potential oversold condition, the broader trends and financial data do not support a compelling long-term investment case at this time.
The MACD is negative and contracting (-4.46), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 24.197, suggesting the stock may be oversold but not providing a strong buy signal. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its S1 support level of 187.103, with resistance levels at 199.715 and 212.327.
Gross margin increased by 41.49% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating some operational improvements. The stock has a 60% chance of a slight positive move in the next month.
Revenue dropped 15.92% YoY, net income and EPS fell to 0 (-100% YoY), reflecting significant financial deterioration. Analysts have downgraded the stock recently, citing unattractive entry points and weak U.S. met indices. No recent news or congress trading data to support a bullish case.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $519.06M (-15.92% YoY), net income and EPS fell to 0 (-100% YoY). Gross margin improved to 7.81 (+41.49% YoY), but overall financials indicate a challenging environment.
Recent analyst actions include a downgrade by B. Riley to Neutral with a $203 price target and a Hold rating from Jefferies with a price target increase to $205. Analysts are cautious, citing unattractive entry points and weak market conditions for metallurgical coal.
