ALSN Should I Buy
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Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) is not a strong buy at the moment. While the technical indicators show some bullish trends, the lack of significant positive catalysts, weak financial performance in the latest quarter, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. For a beginner investor with a long-term focus, it may be better to wait for stronger signals or improved fundamentals before committing to this stock.
The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 54.267, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support is at 115.105, and resistance is at 119.162. However, the stock closed down 1.50% in the regular market, showing short-term weakness.
Bullish moving averages and a positive MACD histogram. Gross margin increased YoY by 2.50%, indicating some operational efficiency improvements.
Analysts have mixed ratings, with some highlighting choppy end markets and a below-consensus 2026 outlook. No recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity to drive sentiment.
In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 7.41% YoY to $737M. Net income fell sharply by 43.43% YoY to $99M, and EPS declined by 41.71% YoY to $1.16. Despite a slight increase in gross margin to 48.03%, overall financial performance was weak.
Analysts have mixed views. Oppenheimer raised the price target to $135 with an Outperform rating, citing cost reductions and price increases. Citi raised the target to $130 but maintained a Neutral rating. BofA raised the target to $95 but kept an Underperform rating, citing choppy end markets and a weak 2026 outlook. Wells Fargo raised the target to $98 with an Equal Weight rating.
