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ALSN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Allison Transmission Holdings Inc(ALSN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Allison Transmission Holdings Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29After Hours1.951.63-16.41754.66M693.00M-8.17+2.44-2.68
FY2025Q22025-08-04After Hours2.202.29+4.09805.37M814.00M+1.07-1.80-0.31
FY2025Q12025-05-01After Hours1.972.23+13.20787.78M766.00M-2.77+4.13+4.11
FY2024Q42025-02-11After Hours1.932.01+4.15789.91M796.00M+0.77-12.46-9.12
FY2024Q32024-10-29After Hours2.012.27+12.94790.02M824.00M+4.30+7.92+9.48
FY2024Q22024-07-25-2.042.13+4.41799.36M816.00M+2.08+2.15+7.21
FY2024Q12024-04-25-1.881.90+1.06772.30M789.00M+2.16+0.29-7.82
FY2023Q42024-02-13-1.421.91+34.51744.58M775.00M+4.08-2.05+12.96
FY2023Q32023-10-25-1.721.76+2.33765.51M736.00M-3.86-0.40-12.21
FY2023Q22023-07-27-1.611.92+19.25735.97M783.00M+6.39-0.41+2.87
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ALSN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of 1.63, compared to analyst estimates of 1.95 by -16.41% . Revenue for the quarter reached 693.00M compared to expectations of 754.66M by -8.17% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.44% one-day change and a -2.68% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Allison Transmission Holdings Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ALSN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Allison Transmission Holdings Inc(ALSN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 711.17M and an EPS of 1.48.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -3.71%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -4.82%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -5.08% . These revisions correlate with a 0.48% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Allison Transmission Holdings Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ALSN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-3.71%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-4.82%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-5.08%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+0.48%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.99B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:7.65
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Stock Price90.45
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ALSN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,After Hours):
EPS: 1.63 (Actual) vs.1.95 (Estimate) (-16.41%)
Revenue: 693.00M (Actual) vs. 754.66M (Estimate) (-8.17%)
Price Reaction: 2.44%(1-Day), -2.68%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-04,After Hours):
EPS: 2.29 (Actual) vs.2.20 (Estimate) (4.09%)
Revenue: 814.00M (Actual) vs. 805.37M (Estimate) (1.07%)
Price Reaction: -1.80%(1-Day), -0.31%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,After Hours):
EPS: 2.23 (Actual) vs.1.97 (Estimate) (13.20%)
Revenue: 766.00M (Actual) vs. 787.78M (Estimate) (-2.77%)
Price Reaction: 4.13%(1-Day), 4.11%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ALSN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ALSN sees a -0.71% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +3.22% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.09%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 2.44% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.56% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-10-29
The earnings call reveals significant challenges, including a 16% YoY revenue decline and decreased net income due to lower demand and acquisition expenses. While defense sales increased, the overall operating environment remains challenging, with subdued market activity and uncertainties impacting investment decisions. The Q&A section highlights concerns about on-highway sales declines, market weakness, and management's unclear responses on key issues. Despite some positive aspects like disciplined cost management, the overall sentiment is negative, likely leading to a stock price decrease in the short term.
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-04
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance, with an 8% increase in diluted EPS and improved operating cash flow. The acquisition expands the global footprint and opens opportunities for growth, despite some market softening. The guidance adjustment reflects near-term market realities, but the company remains well-positioned for future demand, with stable service parts business and strong shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. Positive tailwinds from pricing and cost pass-through agreements further support a positive outlook, leading to a likely stock price increase in the range of 2% to 8%.
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-02
While the company missed earnings expectations, they reported strong net income growth and increased dividends. The Q&A revealed robust North American demand and a focus on capital allocation, but also highlighted uncertainties in global parts sales and regulatory impacts. The stock repurchase program and dividend increase are positive, but geopolitical tensions and supply chain challenges pose risks. Overall, the mixed signals suggest a neutral outlook.
Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings call reveals a positive sentiment with strong financial performance, including increased net income and EPS, alongside a substantial stock repurchase program and dividend increase. Despite a slight dip in net sales, the company shows resilience with improved gross profit and EBITDA margin. The Q&A highlights robust vocational demand and strategic capital allocation, although some uncertainties remain regarding regulations. Overall, the positive financial metrics, shareholder returns, and strategic positioning outweigh the concerns, suggesting a positive stock price reaction.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-30
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with significant YoY growth in net sales, net income, and EPS. Shareholder returns are enhanced by dividends and share repurchases. The raised revenue guidance and positive demand outlook further support a positive sentiment. Despite some supply chain challenges and competitive pressures, the company's strategic partnerships and increased guidance outweigh these concerns. The Q&A section reveals confidence in future demand and strategic initiatives, although some responses lacked clarity. Overall, the company's strong financials and optimistic guidance suggest a positive stock price movement.
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-26
The earnings call presents mixed sentiments. Financial performance shows positive growth in revenue and net income, but the guidance indicates flat EBITDA growth, suggesting potential stagnation. Competitive pressures, regulatory issues, and geopolitical uncertainties pose risks. The Q&A highlights concerns about unclear management responses and potential slowdowns. Shareholder returns through dividends and repurchases are positive but not substantial enough to offset uncertainties. Overall, the outlook is stable with no strong positive or negative catalysts, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ALSN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ALSN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 693.00M against an estimate of 754.66M, resulting in a -8.17% surprise. The EPS was 1.63, surpassing the expected 1.95 by -16.41% . The stock experienced a 2.44% price change on the earnings day and a -2.68% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ALSN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ALSN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by 2.44% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.68% change. Historically, ALSN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.71% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +3.22% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ALSN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ALSN’s annual revenue to reach 711.17M, while the EPS is projected at 1.48. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -3.71% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -5.08% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ALSN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ALSN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -3.71%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -5.08% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ALSN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ALSN’s stock price typically moves by -0.71% in the 10 days before its earnings and +3.22% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.48 and revenue of 711.17M.
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What is the sentiment in Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals significant challenges, including a 16% YoY revenue decline and decreased net income due to lower demand and acquisition expenses. While defense sales increased, the overall operating environment remains challenging, with subdued market activity and uncertainties impacting investment decisions. The Q&A section highlights concerns about on-highway sales declines, market weakness, and management's unclear responses on key issues. Despite some positive aspects like disciplined cost management, the overall sentiment is negative, likely leading to a stock price decrease in the short term.
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