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ALAR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
5.960
1 Day change
52 Week Range
18.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Alarum Technologies Ltd (ALAR) is not a strong buy at this time for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong revenue growth and a promising pivot towards AI data collection, the technical indicators are bearish, and the stock lacks immediate positive trading signals. Additionally, the company's profitability is under pressure due to deliberate reinvestments, and there are no significant catalysts or trading trends to support a buy decision right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 31.19, and the moving averages are bearish with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5. The stock is trading below key pivot levels, with support at 5.968 and resistance at 7.29.

Positive Catalysts

  • The strategic pivot towards AI data collection is yielding record top-line growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margins have decreased significantly due to strategic investments, and operating expenses have risen sharply. Profitability has declined year-over-year, and technical indicators suggest bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue grew 28% YoY to $40.7 million, but gross margins dropped to 58.5% from 75.1% in 2024. Operating expenses increased to $23.6 million from $17.2 million in 2024. For Q1 2026, the company projects $11 million in revenue (up 54% YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 million.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Alliance Global and Canaccord both lowered their price targets for ALAR, citing mixed Q4 results. However, both firms maintain a Buy rating, highlighting the company's strong top-line growth and strategic reinvestments as positives.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALAR stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALAR stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 5.960
sliders
Low
20
Averages
23.5
High
27
Current: 5.960
sliders
Low
20
Averages
23.5
High
27
Alliance Global
Buy
downgrade
$20 -> $16
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
$20 -> $16
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Alliance Global lowered the firm's price target on Alarum to $16 from $20 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the Q4 report. The company's demand will continue to be volatile as many large enterprises are in the development stages of building their large language models and data refreshes are difficult to predict, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Canaccord
Buy
downgrade
$27 -> $14
2026-03-20
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$27 -> $14
2026-03-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Alarum to $14 from $27 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said Alarum reported mixed Q4 results within the guided ranges. They said the earlier strategic pivot toward the AI data collection is now yielding "record" top-line growth and validates its new product portfolio, while year-over-year profitability declines are due to deliberate reinvestment, which the firm views as a good thing.
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