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ACEL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.320
1 Day change
-0.53%
52 Week Range
13.310
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/05
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Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the company has shown strong financial performance and positive growth trends, the recent sharp decline in stock price (-6.66%) and lack of immediate positive trading signals suggest waiting for a more stable entry point. Additionally, the stock's technical indicators and options data do not strongly support a buy decision right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 61.805, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the stock has recently dropped significantly (-6.66%), and the next key support level is at 10.801, suggesting potential downside risk in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the overall volume is low, limiting its reliability as a strong indicator.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Record Q4 2025 revenue of $341 million, up 7.54% YoY.

  • Net income surged 93.32% YoY, with EPS up 90%.

  • Positive analyst sentiment, with price targets ranging from $13 to $17 and optimism about potential Chicago market expansion.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent sharp price decline (-6.66%) despite strong financial results.

  • Slowing growth in Illinois, which constitutes 75% of revenue.

  • Limited float, reducing investor ownership opportunities.

Financial Performance

Accel Entertainment delivered strong Q4 2025 financials, with revenue up 7.54% YoY to $341.4 million, net income up 93.32% to $16.15 million, and EPS up 90% to $0.19. Gross margin also improved to 25.74%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on ACEL, with recent price targets ranging from $13 to $17 and ratings including Buy and Outperform. Analysts highlight strong EBITDA performance and potential growth from Chicago market expansion, though concerns remain about slowing growth in Illinois and limited float.

Wall Street analysts forecast ACEL stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ACEL stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.380
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Current: 11.380
sliders
Low
13
Averages
13
High
13
Citizens
Jordan Bender
Outperform
maintain
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
Reason
Citizens
Jordan Bender
Price Target
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Citizens analyst Jordan Bender raised the firm's price target on Accel Entertainment to $14 from $13 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Accel Entertainment beat EBITDA expectations in Q4, and the company remains optimistic with the Illinois Gaming Board now taking applications for gaming machines in Chicago, though the rules and regulations are still needed for the final approval, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Accel is likely ready to hit the ground running if the ordinance passes, the firm says.
CBRE
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$17
2026-01-16
Reason
CBRE
Price Target
$17
2026-01-16
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
CBRE initiated coverage of Accel Entertainment with a Buy rating and $17 price target.
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