Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) Earning Prediction
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) is set to release its earnings performance on 02/10 16:15:00 ET in After Hours trading. Consensus forecasts predict a revenue of 47.49M and an earnings per share (EPS) of 0.25 for the . With Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms, users can predict whether the earnings will beat or miss expectations before the report drops. Leverage this powerful tool to strategize and position your trades ahead of the earnings release!
Earnings Surprise Analysis
ARI Transcript
The earnings call reveals strong loan origination and repayment activity, maintaining a robust loan portfolio, and adequate liquidity. However, uncertainties in future strategies and vague management responses in the Q&A create concerns. The market cap indicates moderate sensitivity to news. Despite positive investor feedback, the lack of strategic clarity and the flat book value per share suggest limited immediate upside, resulting in a neutral sentiment.
The earnings call reveals a mixed picture. While there are positive elements like strong pricing, cost discipline, and growth potential in intermodal sectors, there are concerns about vague management responses, especially regarding CapEx reductions and M&A risks. The company's focus on productivity and pricing above inflation is positive, but the lack of specific guidance and potential regulatory challenges from industry consolidation temper enthusiasm. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a neutral price movement in the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture with positive elements like debt refinancing, a strong European market, and settlement proceeds. However, concerns arise from elevated repayments, a bankruptcy at Liberty Center, and unclear debt explanations. The Q&A reveals management's confidence in monetizing assets and leveraging capital, but the lack of direct answers on certain issues adds uncertainty. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience minor fluctuations, leading to a neutral prediction.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with significant loan originations and portfolio growth. The company maintains a strong liquidity position and plans to convert non-earning assets into earning ones, suggesting future earnings growth. The Q&A highlights optimism in the commercial real estate market and strategic focus on high-demand areas like senior housing. Although some uncertainties exist, such as unclarified plans for specific assets, the overall sentiment and strategic direction suggest a positive outlook, likely leading to a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
ARI Slides
ARI Report
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc {quarter} Earnings Release Date and Time?
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) is scheduled to release its {quarter} earnings report on Feb 10, 2026, After Hours (approximately 4:00 PM ET). This timing allows investors to react during after-hours trading, with a conference call typically following shortly after.
What Are the Consensus Forecasts for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc {quarter} Revenue and EPS?
Analysts' consensus predicts 47.49M in revenue and an EPS of 0.25 for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc's {quarter}.
What Does Intellectia's AI Predict for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc {quarter} Earnings?
Intellectia's exclusive AI algorithms forecast a {conclusion} for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc's {quarter} earnings, with a prediction date of Feb 10, 2026. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc {summary}
How Can I Use This Earnings Prediction to Trade ARI Stock?
Leverage Intellectia's AI forecast to position trades ahead of the Feb 10, 2026 release—consider calls for a beat scenario or protective puts for misses. Focus on pre-market volatility, and use the scenario probabilities to build strategies around revenue and guidance updates.
How Accurate Is Intellectia's AI for Earnings Predictions Like Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc {quarter}?
Intellectia's predictions are backed by rigorous backtesting, showing a high hit rate for Beat and Miss calls compared to traditional analysis. While no forecast is 100% certain, we provide probability-based scenarios (e.g., 50% chance of a *Beat*) and detailed rationales to help you make informed decisions. Combine our insights with your strategy for the best results—it's like having a co-pilot for earnings season! Empowering users to strategize trades before reports drop.
How does AI Earnings Prediction generate its forecasts?
AI Earnings Prediction uses advanced Large Language Models (LLMs) to analyze a wealth of data, including past earnings transcripts, real-time market sentiment, analyst insights, and company news from the last three months. It focuses on key indicators like revenue, EPS, and margins to predict whether a company will *Beat*, *Miss*, or remain Neutral relative to market expectations. Think of it as a super-smart analyst crunching numbers and news 24/7 to give you a trading edge!
When are the predictions available, and how often are they updated?
Predictions are generated two days before a company's earnings release (e.g., 5:00 PM ET on Feb 13 for a Feb 15 report) to capture the latest market and company data. They're updated in real-time if significant news breaks, ensuring you get fresh insights.
Can I use AI Earnings Prediction for all types of stocks?
Currently, AI Earnings Prediction focuses on companies with market caps above $40 billion, covering major players like SPG, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA for the 2025-2026 earnings seasons. We prioritize high-impact stocks with robust data to ensure reliable forecasts. Stay tuned as we expand coverage to more companies based on user demand!
