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  3. ARI
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ARI

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Amount
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EV/EBITDA(TTM)
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EV/OCF(TTM)
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
46.75M
+7.46%
0.233
-140.17%
47.80M
+21.06%
0.218
-9.15%
46.20M
+7.27%
0.223
-14.12%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.55% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -9.20%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.55%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+12.49%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-9.20%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast ARI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARI is 10.56 USD with a low forecast of 9.50 USD and a high forecast of 11.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ARI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARI is 10.56 USD with a low forecast of 9.50 USD and a high forecast of 11.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.970
sliders
Low
9.50
Averages
10.56
High
11.00
Current: 9.970
sliders
Low
9.50
Averages
10.56
High
11.00
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
downgrade
$11
2025-11-06
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$11
2025-11-06
downgrade
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10.75 from $11 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
JPMorgan
Richard Shane
Buy
maintain
$11
2025-11-03
Reason
JPMorgan
Richard Shane
Price Target
$11
2025-11-03
maintain
Buy
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Richard Shane raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $11 from $10.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
JPMorgan
Neutral -> Overweight
upgrade
$10
2025-10-20
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$10
2025-10-20
upgrade
Neutral -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan upgraded Apollo Commercial to Overweight from Neutral with a price target of $10.50, up from $10. The firm believes the company has made progress resolving its "troubled" loans and is well positioned to redeploy capital into interest earning assets. As Apollo Commercial's portfolio returns to growth mode, it creates a setup for higher net interest income and greater earnings potential, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
UBS
Doug Harter
Neutral
maintain
$10
2025-07-15
Reason
UBS
Doug Harter
Price Target
$10
2025-07-15
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Doug Harter raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10.50 from $10 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Keefe Bruyette
maintain
2025-07-10
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
2025-07-10
maintain
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10.75 from $10.50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
UBS
Doug Harter
Neutral
maintain
$9 -> $10
2025-05-21
Reason
UBS
Doug Harter
Price Target
$9 -> $10
2025-05-21
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Doug Harter raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10 from $9 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI.N) is 10.73, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 9.71. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
9.71
Current PE
10.73
Overvalued PE
11.41
Undervalued PE
8.00

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
0.00
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
0.00

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
6.67
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
7.72
Undervalued PS
5.62
AI Stock Picker
AI Stock Picker

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Financial AI Agent
Financial AI Agent

ARI News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-10-30
16:42:06
Apollo Commercial announces Q3 earnings per share of 30 cents, surpassing consensus estimate of 25 cents.
select
2025-07-29 (ET)
2025-07-29
16:35:34
Apollo Commercial reports Q2 EPS 26c, consensus 25c
select
2025-04-24 (ET)
2025-04-24
16:21:41
Apollo Commercial reports Q1 distributable EPS 24c, consensus 22c
select
Sign Up For More Events
Sign Up For More Events

News

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-09TipRanks
Looking for a 10% Dividend Yield? Analysts Recommend 2 Dividend Stocks to Consider

  • Focus on Dividend Stocks: As 2025 approaches, Wall Street analysts are prioritizing income-generating stocks, particularly dividend payers, which are appealing for their steady income and potential upside.

  • Apollo Commercial Real Estate (ARI): This REIT has a strong focus on senior mortgages and a diversified portfolio worth $8.3 billion, offering a 10% dividend yield, with a unanimous Strong Buy consensus from analysts.

  • OneMain Holdings (OMF): Specializing in consumer loans for sub-prime customers, OneMain has shown significant growth with a 9% increase in revenue and a 7% dividend yield, supported by positive analyst outlooks.

  • Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Both ARI and OMF have favorable analyst ratings, with ARI showing an 11% upside potential and OMF indicating a total return potential of 27% when factoring in dividends.

[object Object]
Preview
9.5
10-31SeekingAlpha
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Reports Strong Loan Activity with $3B in Year-to-Date Originations as Capital Shifts from Targeted Assets

  • Management Insights: CEO Stuart Rothstein reported strong origination activity with over $19 billion in commercial real estate loans closed to date, and emphasized the importance of European expansion as a differentiating factor for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI).

  • Financial Performance: ARI reported a GAAP net income of $48 million and distributable earnings of $42 million for Q3 2025, with a portfolio carrying value of $8.3 billion and a weighted average unlevered yield of 7.7%.

  • Outlook and Strategy: Management anticipates that capital rotation from focus assets will enhance earnings, with expectations to exit the Brook investment in late 2026 and ongoing efforts to monetize assets like 111 West 57th Street.

  • Risks and Concerns: The company faces unpredictability in asset monetization timing, particularly with ongoing bankruptcy proceedings at Liberty Center, and acknowledges the lumpy nature of repayment pacing quarter-to-quarter.

[object Object]
Preview
9.5
10-31NASDAQ.COM
Apollo Commercial Finance (ARI) Exceeds Q3 Earnings Projections

  • Earnings Performance: Apollo Commercial Finance (ARI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.30 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.05, marking a 500% earnings surprise, although revenues of $40.04 million fell short of expectations.

  • Stock Outlook: Despite a 16.6% increase in shares since the beginning of the year, ARI is currently rated Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), indicating expected underperformance in the near future due to unfavorable earnings estimate revisions.

  • Industry Context: The REIT and Equity Trust industry, to which ARI belongs, is currently ranked in the top 39% of Zacks industries, suggesting that overall industry performance could influence ARI's stock movement.

  • Comparison with Peers: Ready Capital (RC), another company in the same industry, is anticipated to report a significant decline in earnings, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.02, reflecting a year-over-year change of -92%.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) stock price today?

The current price of ARI is 9.97 USD — it has decreased -1.77 % in the last trading day.

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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s business?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. Its principal business objective is to acquire its target assets in order to provide attractive risk- adjusted returns to its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. Its investment strategy is to identify opportunities within its target assets through its manager and its affiliates as well as their platform, which integrates real estate experience with private equity and capital markets in transaction sourcing, underwriting, execution, asset operation, management and disposition. It targets assets that are secured by real estate throughout the United States and Europe. The Company is externally managed and advised by ACREFI Management, LLC.

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What is the price predicton of ARI Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ARI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARI is 10.56 USD with a low forecast of 9.50 USD and a high forecast of 11.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 193.80M USD, increased 941.92 % YoY.

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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.34 USD, decreased -149.28 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -3.55% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -9.20%.
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How many employees does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI). have?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) has 0 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) market cap?

Today ARI has the market capitalization of 1.39B USD.

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