
ARI
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc
- Overview
- Forecast
- Valuation
- Earnings

Line
|

Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
10.060
Open
10.020
VWAP
10.00
Vol
292.12K
Mkt Cap
1.39B
Low
9.900
Amount
2.92M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
24.43
Total Shares
142.16M
EV
9.03B
EV/OCF(TTM)
45.22
P/S(TTM)
2.62
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The Company primarily originates, acquires, invests in and manages performing commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings and other commercial real estate-related debt investments. Its principal business objective is to acquire its target assets in order to provide attractive risk- adjusted returns to its stockholders over the long term, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. Its investment strategy is to identify opportunities within its target assets through its manager and its affiliates as well as their platform, which integrates real estate experience with private equity and capital markets in transaction sourcing, underwriting, execution, asset operation, management and disposition. It targets assets that are secured by real estate throughout the United States and Europe. The Company is externally managed and advised by ACREFI Management, LLC.
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Market Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2026Q1
FY2025Q4
FY2025Q3
41.80M
+5.86%
0.215
-10.25%
49.20M
+13.1%
0.096
-116.48%
49.15M
+4.48%
0.247
-20.25%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -1.58% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 1.02%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward

-1.58%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward

+8.01%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up

+1.02%
In Past 3 Month
3 Analyst Rating

5.25% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast ARI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARI is 10.42 USD with a low forecast of 10.00 USD and a high forecast of 10.75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy

5.25% Upside
Current: 9.900

Low
10.00
Averages
10.42
High
10.75

5.25% Upside
Current: 9.900

Low
10.00
Averages
10.42
High
10.75
UBS
Doug Harter
Neutral
maintain
$10
2025-07-15
Reason
UBS
Doug Harter
Price Target
$10
2025-07-15
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Doug Harter raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10.50 from $10 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Keefe Bruyette
maintain
2025-07-10
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
2025-07-10
maintain
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10.75 from $10.50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
UBS
Doug Harter
Neutral
maintain
$9 -> $10
2025-05-21
Reason
UBS
Doug Harter
Price Target
$9 -> $10
2025-05-21
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Doug Harter raised the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $10 from $9 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
JP Morgan
Richard Shane
Hold
Maintains
$9.5 → $8
2025-04-16
Reason
JP Morgan
Richard Shane
Price Target
$9.5 → $8
2025-04-16
Maintains
Hold
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $8 from $9.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares as part of a Q1 preview for the mortgage real estate investment trusts. Lower short-term rates provide incremental credit relief for borrowers in the form of lower financing costs, but may signal an elevated risk of recession, which could pressure occupancy and rent growth rates and make final resolution of troubled assets more difficult, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says elevated macro uncertainty and a more "two sided risk/reward outlook tempers" its conviction on the MREITs.
UBS
Douglas Harter
Hold
Maintains
$10 → $9
2025-04-16
Reason
UBS
Douglas Harter
Price Target
$10 → $9
2025-04-16
Maintains
Hold
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Apollo Commercial to $9 from $10 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Recent macro uncertainty has led the firm to lower price targets for commercial mortgage REITs by 17% on average as it contends that the uncertainty is likely to delay the sector's recovery.
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Jade Rahmani
Hold
to
Buy
Upgrades
$10
2025-04-07
Reason
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods
Jade Rahmani
Price Target
$10
2025-04-07
Upgrades
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Keefe Bruyette upgraded Apollo Commercial to Outperform from Market Perform with an unchanged price target of $10. Some commercial mortgage real estate investment trusts are positioned to benefit from stronger loan originations and credit resolutions in 2025, while others remain weighed down by ongoing credit and liquidity challenges, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects further pressure in life science and transitional multifamily. Rising macro uncertainty "adds a new layer of risk, potentially exposing stress in sectors that have not experienced losses," contends Keefe. It upgraded Apollo Commercial as part of a Q1 earnings preview.
See All Ratings
Valuation Metrics
The current forward P/E ratio for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI.N) is 13.13, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 9.45. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc 's fair value, click here.
Forward PE
The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Strongly Overvalued
5Y Average PE
9.45
Current PE
13.13
Overvalued PE
11.11
Undervalued PE
7.78
Forward EV/EBITDA
The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
0.00
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
0.00
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
0.00
Forward PS
The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Fair
5Y Average PS
6.53
Current PS
6.69
Overvalued PS
7.64
Undervalued PS
5.42
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-47.53%
113.01M
Total Revenue
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-57.54%
70.10M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-42.05%
20.74M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-47.83%
0.12
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+213.35%
30.73M
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-9.53%
81.32
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
-15.26%
9.66
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q2
YoY :
+10.41%
18.35
Net Margin - %
FY2025Q2
N/A
ROIC
Trading Trends
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 439.89% over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
511.8K
USD
1
3-6
Months
724.5K
USD
3
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
8.6K
USD
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
0.0
Volume
0
6-9
Months
0.0
Volume
0
0-12
Months
0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
Volume
Months
3-6
0
0.0
Volume
Months
6-9
0
0.0
Volume
Months
0-12
0
0.0
Volume
Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 439.89% over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
511.8K
USD
1
3-6
Months
724.5K
USD
3
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
8.6K
USD
1
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months
ARI News & Events
Events Timeline
2025-07-29 (ET)
2025-07-29
16:35:34
Apollo Commercial reports Q2 EPS 26c, consensus 25c

2025-04-24 (ET)
2025-04-24
16:21:41
Apollo Commercial reports Q1 distributable EPS 24c, consensus 22c

2025-02-10 (ET)
2025-02-10
15:22:21
Apollo Commercial reports Q4 distributable EPS 32c, consensus 23c

Sign Up For More Events
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News
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FAQ

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI) stock price today?
The current price of ARI is 9.9 USD — it has decreased -1.2 % in the last trading day.

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s business?

What is the price predicton of ARI Stock?

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s revenue for the last quarter?

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance Inc (ARI). have?
