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WSO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Watsco Inc (WSO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
438.410
1 Day change
1.89%
52 Week Range
518.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Based on the data provided, Watsco Inc (WSO) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The financial performance shows declining revenue, net income, and EPS, which are concerning for long-term growth. Additionally, there are no strong positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals to support an immediate buy decision. Holding off for now and monitoring the stock's performance and market conditions is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is above 0 and positively contracting, indicating a bullish momentum, but RSI at 79.502 is neutral, suggesting no clear signal. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 419.618 and R2: 434.758), which could limit immediate upside potential. Moving averages are converging, showing no strong directional trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low option volume put-call ratio (0.24) suggests a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the open interest put-call ratio (0.73) indicates a more balanced sentiment overall.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • No significant positive catalysts identified. The gross margin increased slightly YoY, which is a small positive.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The recent acquisition of a key HVAC distributor by a competitor (Home Depot's SRS Distribution) poses a competitive threat. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant decline in revenue (-9.99%), net income (-25.63%), and EPS (-25.94%). Analysts have neutral ratings, and there is no recent news or congress trading data to suggest strong positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 9.99% YoY, net income fell by 25.63% YoY, and EPS decreased by 25.94% YoY. Gross margin increased slightly to 27.14%, up 1.69% YoY, but overall financial performance indicates a decline in profitability and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have neutral ratings on the stock. JPMorgan raised the price target to $400 from $370, and Mizuho raised it to $425 from $370, citing higher peer valuations. However, William Blair's analyst notes concerns about competitive pressures following the acquisition of a key distributor by a competitor.

Wall Street analysts forecast WSO stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast WSO stock price to fall
1 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 430.260
sliders
Low
349
Averages
394.14
High
460
Current: 430.260
sliders
Low
349
Averages
394.14
High
460
William Blair
Ryan Merkel
Market Perform
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-03-24
Reason
William Blair
Ryan Merkel
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-24
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
William Blair analyst Ryan Merkel notes that Watsco (WSO) shares are down 9% after SRS Distribution, part of Home Depot (HD), announced it will acquire HVAC distributor Mingledorff's. There are "some negatives" for Watsco - namely losing out on one of the key Carrier (CARR) distribution assets left in the market and another well-resourced competitor in the HVAC distribution M&A landscape - but the firm believes the negatives "do not come close to justifying the sell-off," says the analyst, who has a Market Perform rating on Watsco shares.
JPMorgan
Neutral
maintain
$370 -> $400
2026-02-19
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$370 -> $400
2026-02-19
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Watsco to $400 from $370 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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