WM Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how WM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, WM sees a -0.25% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.34% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.20%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
WM Key Earning Data
WM Earnings Analysis
Positive
EBITDA Growth Analysis: Total company operating EBITDA grew by more than 12% in Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2024, driven by solid operational performance and contributions from WM Healthcare Solutions.
EBITDA Growth in Recycling: Combined operating EBITDA from recycling and renewable energy grew by over 20% year-over-year, keeping the company on track to meet full year targets.
Operational Efficiency Comparison: Automated recycling facilities delivered nearly double the operating EBITDA margin compared to non-automated facilities, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Expansion of Recycling Facilities: The company added two new automated recycling facilities in California and Texas, with seven more scheduled for 2025, enhancing capacity and operational performance.
Healthcare Integration Progress: WM Healthcare Solutions integration is progressing well, with expectations of achieving $250 million of annual run rate synergies by 2027.
EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion: First quarter operating EBITDA for the collection and disposal business was up almost 5%, with margin expansion of 10 basis points, demonstrating strong core business performance.
Revenue Growth Drivers: Revenue grew across all lines of business, driven by collection and disposal yield of 4% and core price of 6.5%, indicating effective pricing strategies.
Cost Management Improvement: Operating expenses as a percentage of revenue were at 60.5%, marking a 40 basis point improvement from Q1 2024, showcasing cost management effectiveness.
Consistent Margin Achievement: WM's legacy business achieved a 30% margin for the fourth consecutive quarter, reflecting consistent operational efficiency and profitability.
Strong Cash Generation: Operating cash flow was $1.21 billion in Q1, and free cash flow of $475 million is on plan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
Shareholder Value Commitment: The company returned $336 million to shareholders through dividends, demonstrating commitment to shareholder value.
Solid Waste Acquisition Growth: WM expects to close on more than $500 million of solid waste acquisitions in 2025, a significant increase from typical acquisition levels, reflecting confidence in growth opportunities.
Negative
EBITDA Growth Challenges: Operating EBITDA growth of 12% was driven by solid performance, but the company faced challenges from tough winter weather in the Southeast and Gulf Coast regions.
Flat Collection and Disposal Results: First quarter collection and disposal results were flat on a workday-adjusted basis, with positive landfill and commercial collection volumes offset by the strategic exit from low-margin residential business.
Tax Credit Impact on Margins: The expiration of alternative fuel tax credits negatively impacted margins, contributing to a 30 basis point headwind in the quarter.
Operating Cash Flow Decline: Operating cash flow decreased to $1.21 billion compared to the previous year, attributed to planned increases in cash interest payments and headwinds from working capital.
Share Buyback Pause: Share buybacks are currently paused as the company focuses on reducing leverage, indicating potential concerns about debt levels.
WM FAQs
How does WM typically perform around its earnings report dates?
WM's stock performance around earnings reports can vary, but historical data shows specific patterns, such as a -0.25% change leading up to the report and a +2.34% change in the 10 days following the release.
Is Waste Management Inc (WM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
How can historical earnings data help predict future stock performance?
WM Earning Call Sentiment
Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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