DUK Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how DUK performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, DUK sees a -1.27% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.86% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
DUK Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
7.36B
2.05%
-9.74%
Gross Margin
50.20%
0.18%
4.32%
Operating Margin
28.70%
12.59%
9.75%
Net Margin
16.70%
6.10%
5.56%
EPS
1.54
19.38%
-3.14%
No Data Available
DUK Earnings Analysis
Duke Energy Corp Corporation (DUK.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Earnings Per Share Guidance: 2024 adjusted earnings per share of $5.9 was within guidance range, with 2025 EPS guidance set at $6.17 to $6.42, indicating a 7% growth over 2024.
Rate-Based Investment Approval: Approval of $45 billion in rate-based investments enhances regulatory execution and minimizes rate case exposure for 2025 and 2026.
Capital Plan Increase: Five-year capital plan increased to $83 billion, representing a 12% rise, with 7.7% annual earnings growth expected through 2029.
Projected Customer Growth: Strong customer growth anticipated, with annual load growth projected to increase to 3% to 4% starting in 2027, supported by significant economic development projects.
Dividend Consistency: Duke Energy has maintained a 99-year track record of paying quarterly cash dividends, reaffirming commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative
Earnings Guidance Challenges: Full year adjusted earnings per share of $5.9 was at the lower end of the guidance range, indicating potential challenges in achieving higher profitability.
Weather-Related Financial Vulnerability: The impacts of a historic hurricane season partially offset top line growth, suggesting vulnerability to external weather events affecting financial performance.
Cash Flow Challenges: Operating cash flow was pressured due to increased O&M costs related to storm recovery efforts, indicating potential inefficiencies in cost management during adverse conditions.
Rising Interest Expense Impact: Interest expense is expected to rise, contributing to modest share dilution, which could negatively impact shareholder value and earnings per share growth.
O&M Cost Increase Impact: The company anticipates a significant increase in O&M costs in 2025 due to catch-up projects from the previous year, which may hinder overall profitability.
DUK FAQs
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DUK Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Duke Energy Q4 2024 results miss forecasts
DUK.N
1.65%Positive
The earnings call summary presents a positive outlook with strong financial metrics, a significant capital plan increase, and a commitment to dividends. Despite some regulatory and supply chain risks, the reaffirmed EPS guidance and expected load growth indicate confidence in future performance. The Q&A section supports this sentiment, with management expressing confidence in their plans and opportunities. However, the lack of a share repurchase program and some regulatory uncertainties slightly temper the overall positive sentiment. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to see a modest increase in the short term.
