VTLE

Vital Energy Inc

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14.350

-0.04(-0.278%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Line

Candle

YTD

High

14.510

Open

14.200

VWAP

14.30

Vol

1.43M

Mkt Cap

555.34M

Low

13.790

Amount

20.47M

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

2.39

Total Shares

36.66M

2.85B

EV/OCF(TTM)

2.57

P/S(TTM)

0.28

Vital Energy, Inc. is an independent energy company. It is focused on the acquisition, exploration and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Permian Basin of West Texas. It operates through the exploration and production segment. It has assembled 286,796 largely contiguous net acres in the Permian Basin, of which is prospective for multi-zone development in Glasscock, Howard, Midland, Reagan, and Upton counties in the Midland Basin and Pecos, Reeves, and Ward counties in the Delaware Basin. It has certain oil and natural gas properties located in the Delaware Basin, including approximately 24,000 net acres in Pecos, Reeves and Ward Counties, and related assets and contracts. It has certain oil and natural gas properties in the Midland Basin, including over 11,200 net acres located in Upton and Reagan Counties and related assets and contracts. It focuses on its development activities on horizontal drilling targets in the Wolfcamp, Spraberry, and Bone Spring formations.

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q3

FY2025Q4

FY2026Q1

453.72M

-1.2%

1.497

-7.03%

510.97M

-4.38%

2.075

-9.77%

465.09M

-9.19%

1.389

-41.38%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Vital Energy, Inc. (VTLE) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -0.96% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -1.98%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Downward

-0.96%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+3.28%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-1.98%

In Past 3 Month

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast VTLE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VTLE is 21.00 USD with a low forecast of 17.00 USD and a high forecast of 24.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

5 Hold

2 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 14.350

Low

17.00

Averages

21.00

High

24.00

Current: 14.350

Low

17.00

Averages

21.00

High

24.00

Piper Sandler

Neutral

downgrade

$17 -> $16

2025-08-14

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$17 -> $16

2025-08-14

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Vital Energy to $16 from $17 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says that it's been a challenging investing environment in E&P to say the least, and coming out of Q2 results it feels even more so. Gas equities had been a relative safe haven on near-term LNG capacity adds and long-term demand from power/data center, but supply continues to surprise to the upside despite lower associated levels of activity. There certainly were some positives out of Q2, Piper notes, with operators continuing to drive efficiencies driving capex lower to drive the same output, while tax legislation in the "One Big Beautiful Bill" is driving incremental free cash flow across the group, or at least offsetting a weaker commodity strip.

Piper Sandler

Mark Lear

Neutral

maintain

$15 -> $17

2025-07-17

Reason

Piper Sandler

Mark Lear

Price Target

$15 -> $17

2025-07-17

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Piper Sandler analyst Mark Lear raised the firm's price target on Vital Energy to $17 from $15 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says the E&P investing environment remains challenging coming out of Q2, marked by a volatile oil price environment with increased geopolitical risk offset by higher OPEC+ supplies, while strong secular gas-demand trends have been offset by stubbornly high supplies and strong inventory builds. The long-term gas demand story, driven by power generation and data center buildout, got a shot in the arm earlier this week on the back of the PA Power and Innovation Summit, with $90B of announcement investment in power and data center buildout, Piper says. The firm prefers more defensive positioning in oil.

Wells Fargo

Equal Weight

maintain

$21 -> $22

2025-07-15

Reason

Wells Fargo

Price Target

$21 -> $22

2025-07-15

maintain

Equal Weight

Reason

Wells Fargo raised the firm's price target on Vital Energy to $22 from $21 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm expects in-line production with mixed financial results for Q2 after marking to market. Key areas of focus include progress on cost reduction initiatives, initial results of J-Hook wells, service cost deflation and preliminary 2026 outlook, Wells adds.

Raymond James

Outperform -> Underperform

downgrade

2025-06-24

Reason

Raymond James

Price Target

2025-06-24

downgrade

Outperform -> Underperform

Reason

Raymond James double downgraded Vital Energy to Underperform from Outperform without a price target. As the geopolitical risk premium unwinds on oil, the fundamentals support an oil price closer to $60 per barrel, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm anticipates an extended period of time at that level absent geopolitical risks re-surfacing or OPEC reversing course. Even after the selloff yesterday, Vital is easily the best performing stock in the group over the past month, contends Raymond James. However, the firm says Vital is on the lower side of inventory life in the Permian and has higher leverage than the SMID-cap average. It calls Vital the highest beta name in its coverage.

Piper Sandler

Neutral

downgrade

$16 -> $15

2025-05-15

Reason

Piper Sandler

Price Target

$16 -> $15

2025-05-15

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Vital Energy to $15 from $16 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares following Q1 2025 results that came in stronger than consensus estimates driven by lower costs. The firm updates its type curves for leading edge well performance data that incorporates longer lateral development across the company's Permian portfolio, and struggles to see half-cycle break-evens for the bulk of the portfolio much below $70/bbl WTI.

Mizuho

Neutral

maintain

$29 -> $23

2025-05-13

Reason

Mizuho

Price Target

$29 -> $23

2025-05-13

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Vital Energy to $23 from $29 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated integrated oil models post Q1 earnings with three upgrades and one downgrade. Mizuho sees potential weakness for global oil prices but expects gas and refining fundamentals to improve over the next 12 months. The firm are lowering its oil price outlook by 10%-11%, saying accelerating oversupply will likely overshadow any stabilization of demand. It raised its U.S. natural gas price forecast over the same period by 15%. saying structural undersupply continues. The analyst also sees improved U.S. refining fundamentals as the inventory outlook remains tight and oil prices weaken potentially lifting refining margins. Mizuho adding ConocoPhillips (COP) to its "Top Picks" alongside Coterra (CTRA) and Chord Energy (CHRD) and removed Chevron (CVX). The firm upgraded Antero Resources (AR), HF Sinclair (DINO) and Delek US (DK) to Outperform, while downgrading Murphy Oil (MUR) to Neutral.

See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Vital Energy Inc (VTLE.N) is 2.31, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 3.34. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Vital Energy Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average PE

3.34

Current PE

2.31

Overvalued PE

4.62

Undervalued PE

2.05

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

Fair

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

2.59

Current EV/EBITDA

2.46

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

3.00

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

2.19

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

Undervalued

5Y Average PS

0.57

Current PS

0.30

Overvalued PS

0.78

Undervalued PS

0.36