Stock Price & Analysis

Analysis and Insights

Based on the provided data, here's a concise analysis of VIPS stock:

1. Analyst Sentiment: Barclays recently upgraded VIPS, raising the price target to $20 from $19, citing positive Q4 results and management's optimistic outlook for Q1. This indicates positive analyst sentiment and potential upside.

2. Stock Performance: VIPS has surpassed its average analyst target price of $16.04, trading at $16.89. This could lead to further target price adjustments by analysts.

3. Technical Indicators:

   • RSI (6): 78.39 (overbought)
   • RSI (12): 69.86 (overbought)
   • MACD: 0.65 (bullish)

4. Earnings and Revenue:

   • Q4 revenue beat expectations at $4.55 billion.
   • Revenue has declined for three consecutive quarters but at a moderating rate.

5. Dividend: VIPS declared an annual dividend of $0.48, indicating financial stability.

6. Valuation: The stock has a P/E ratio of 7.5, lower than peers like Alibaba (21) and JD.com (14), suggesting potential undervaluation.

7. Growth Areas: Apparel segment growth and strong performance from Super VIP customers are positive signs.

8. Challenges: Declining active customers and orders, with revenue expected to be flat to down 5% in Q1.

Conclusion:

Given the positive analyst sentiment, strong Q4 results, and undervaluation relative to peers, VIPS stock presents a buying opportunity. However, the overbought RSI and moderating revenue growth suggest caution. It may be wise to hold or wait for a pullback before entering.

The price prediction for VIPS stock in 2025 is expected to range between $16.00 and $19.00, with a potential upside to $19.33 based on Fibonacci extensions. The stock is currently trading at $17.73, with technical indicators suggesting a mixed outlook. Analysts have raised their target prices, with Barclays recently increasing their target to $20, indicating optimism. However, the stock faces challenges from declining active customers and revenue, which may limit significant upside.

The S1 support level for VIPS Stock is $16.29 ,The R1 resistant level for VIPS Stock is $17.64.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-24, the price of VIPS Stock was $16.41.

The target price for VIPS Stock according to analyst rating is 17.28, with the highest price target at 20.00 and the lowest at 15.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on VIPS Stock overall.

The market cap of VIPS is $8.4B.

Analysis and Insights

VIPS may not be overvalued based on current analysis. Here's a concise breakdown:

1. Valuation Metrics: VIPS has a PE ratio of 7.74 (Q1 2024), lower than many peers, suggesting it's undervalued relative to earnings.

2. Technical Indicators: The RSI_6 at 78.39 is near overbought levels, but the MACD remains positive, indicating upward momentum.

3. Analyst Sentiment: Barclays raised its target price to $20, and VIPS has surpassed the average analyst target of $16.04, indicating optimism.

4. Dividend Yield: A 3.37% forward yield attracts income investors, supporting the stock price.

5. Fibonacci Levels: Trading above the pivot point of $16.57, with resistance at $17.62, shows bullish momentum.

6. Revenue Outlook: Q1 2025 targets reflect strategic investments, signaling potential growth.

Conclusion: VIPS appears fairly valued with growth potential, supported by strong fundamentals and analyst optimism.

Vipshop Holdings Limited is a holding company. The Company is an online discount retailer for brands in China. The Company offers branded products to consumers in China through flash sales mainly on its vip.com Website. The Company's segment is sales, product distribution and offering of goods on its online platforms. The Company conducts its business through its subsidiaries and consolidated affiliated entities in China. Through its flash sales model, the Company sells limited quantities of discounted branded products online for limited periods of time. The Company offers diversified product offerings from over 17,000 domestic and international brands, including apparel for women, men and children, fashion goods, cosmetics, home goods and other lifestyle products. The Company offers a range of products and services for consumers through lefeng.com, specializing in branded cosmetics, apparel, healthcare products, food and other consumer products.

VIPS stock is predicted to reach $25-$35 by 2030, driven by strong e-commerce growth in China and positive management outlook. The current price target upgrades and overbought RSI suggest bullish momentum.

VIPS has a total of 14638 employees.