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VALN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Valneva SE (VALN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
6.480
1 Day change
0.93%
52 Week Range
12.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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Valneva SE (VALN) does not present a strong buy opportunity at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators are neutral, there are no significant trading trends, and the stock lacks immediate positive catalysts or proprietary trading signals. While the company has promising developments in its pipeline, such as the Lyme disease vaccine and Clostridioides difficile vaccine candidate, these are long-term projects with no immediate impact on the stock price. Given the investor's impatience and preference for long-term gains, it is better to hold off on investing in VALN at this time.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI is neutral at 42.365, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 10.385, and resistance is at 11.516. The stock has a 70% chance of gaining 0.13% in the next day, 2.34% in the next week, and 6.14% in the next month, but these are modest gains.

Positive Catalysts

  • Additionally, Elaris FlexCo secured exclusive rights for a vaccine candidate technology, which could lead to long-term growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Overall sales decreased by 3.3% in 2024 due to planned reductions in third-party sales. Insiders and hedge funds are neutral, indicating no significant interest or confidence in the stock currently.

Financial Performance

Valneva SE reported total revenue of €174.7 million for 2025, reflecting a 13.7% increase from 2024. However, product sales slightly decreased, and there is no detailed financial data available for deeper analysis.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent analyst rating or price target changes available for evaluation.

Wall Street analysts forecast VALN stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast VALN stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.480
sliders
Low
7.55
Averages
10.28
High
13
Current: 6.480
sliders
Low
7.55
Averages
10.28
High
13
Jefferies
Buy
maintain
$15
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
New
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$15
AI Analysis
2026-03-23
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating and $15 price target on Valneva after the company reported topline results from the Phase 3 VALOR clinical trial of its investigational 6-valent OspA-based Lyme disease vaccine candidate PF-07307405. The firm told investors in a research note that the stock is over-reacting due to headline miss on statistical significance for per-protocol analysis with 28-day post-dose endpoint showing 73.2% vaccine efficacy that missed bar for greater than 20% on the lower bound of 95% confidence interval. Jefferies added that stock weakness presents a buying opportunity with potential path to approval intact.
Guggenheim
Buy
downgrade
$14 -> $13
2025-09-08
Reason
Guggenheim
Price Target
$14 -> $13
2025-09-08
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Guggenheim lowered the firm's price target on Valneva to $13 from $14 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares following the company's recent first half earnings release and the suspension of the Ixchiq BLA in the U.S. Given the suspension, the firm is removing all U.S. Ixchiq sales from its model and also assumes more limited commercial uptake in Europe, but it maintains a Buy rating ahead of the "important" Phase 3 data readout for their Lyme vaccine that it expects by late Q4 or in early Q1 of 2026.
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