Should You Buy US Foods Holding Corp (USFD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
US Foods (USFD) is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. Despite an overall bullish trend (moving averages stacked positively) and supportive analyst targets, the near-term setup skews negative: options flow is extremely put-heavy, the MACD is still positive but losing momentum, insiders have been selling aggressively, and pattern-based probabilities point to downside over the next day/week/month. If you already own it, it’s a hold rather than a chase; if you’re looking to initiate now, I would skip buying at current levels.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates the intermediate trend is still up. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.159) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating. RSI(6) at ~59.8 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought, but also not washed out for a clean dip-buy). Levels: Pivot ~82.97 is the key near-term line; price (83.62 post-market) is only modestly above it. Upside resistance sits at R1 ~85.25 then R2 ~86.66; downside supports are S1 ~80.68 then S2 ~79.27. Near-term probability model (similar candlestick patterns) flags elevated downside risk (-3.63% next day, -4.78% next week, -6.93% next month), which argues against buying immediately.
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