ULTA.O Relative Valuation
ULTA.O's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ULTA.O is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 20.82 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 19.50. The fair price of Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) is between 447.91 to 600.67 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
447.91-600.67
Current Price：533.95
Fair
20.82
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
14.72
EV/EBITDA
Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA.O) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.72. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.23. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.61, Undervalued between 9.61 and 11.42, Fairly Valued between 15.04 and 11.42, Overvalued between 15.04 and 16.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 16.85. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.72 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
17.70
EV/EBIT
Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA.O) has a current EV/EBIT of 17.70. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 16.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.07, Undervalued between 10.07 and 13.05, Fairly Valued between 19.00 and 13.05, Overvalued between 19.00 and 21.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.98. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 17.70 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
1.97
PS
Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA.O) has a current PS of 1.97. The 5-year average PS is 2.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.39, Undervalued between 1.39 and 1.69, Fairly Valued between 2.30 and 1.69, Overvalued between 2.30 and 2.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.61. The current Forward PS of 1.97 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
14.77
P/OCF
Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA.O) has a current P/OCF of 14.77. The 5-year average P/OCF is 15.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.77, Undervalued between 9.77 and 12.39, Fairly Valued between 17.65 and 12.39, Overvalued between 17.65 and 20.27, and Strongly Overvalued above 20.27. The current Forward P/OCF of 14.77 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
26.30
P/FCF
Ulta Beauty Inc. (ULTA.O) has a current P/FCF of 26.30. The 5-year average P/FCF is 21.97. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 14.22, Undervalued between 14.22 and 18.09, Fairly Valued between 25.84 and 18.09, Overvalued between 25.84 and 29.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.72. The current Forward P/FCF of 26.30 falls within the Overvalued range.
Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 9.20. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 9.67 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -4.81% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 10.14, the current P/B ratio is about -9.25% higher. Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA.O) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.71%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.63% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
9.20
P/B
Median3y
9.67
Median5y
10.14
3.90
FCF Yield
Median3y
4.71
Median5y
4.63
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for ULTA.O's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ulta Beauty Inc Corp (ULTA.O) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of %, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of ULTA.O increased by 22.77% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 16.36 to 20.46.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 12.95%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of ULTA.O in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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