Should You Buy UFP Industries Inc (UFPI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
UFPI is not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. The chart’s longer-term structure is still constructive (bullish moving averages), but near-term momentum is deteriorating (MACD histogram negative and expanding) and price is below the key pivot (104.788). Fundamentals in the latest quarter (2025/Q3) weakened notably YoY, and the lone recent analyst action maintains a Hold with a $98 target (below the current ~$103). With no Intellectia buy signals today and earnings approaching on 2026-02-16, the risk/reward for an immediate entry is unfavorable; I would avoid new buys here.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating the broader trend is still up. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.516 and negatively expanding, signaling weakening near-term momentum/possible pullback pressure. RSI_6 at 48.24 is neutral (no oversold bounce signal). Levels: Current ~103.28 is below the pivot at 104.788 (near-term bearish bias until reclaimed). Nearby support is S1 101.637 (then S2 99.69); resistance is R1 107.94 (then R2 109.887). Pattern-based forward stats provided imply mild downside risk next day (60% chance to -0.9%) but more positive odds over the next week (+2.77%) and month (+1.3%); however, the current momentum (MACD) argues the entry is not clean today.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent change: On 2025-11-03, Stifel raised its price target to $98 from $95 but maintained a Hold rating after Q3 results, citing market uncertainty as the key impediment. Wall Street pros/cons view: Pros—some confidence implied by the modest PT raise post-Q3; business positioning/brands (e.g., Deckorators) can support longer-term demand. Cons—rating remains Hold and the $98 target is below today’s price (~$103), suggesting limited upside and/or valuation/uncertainty concerns in the near term.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available. Hedge funds and insiders: both Neutral with no significant recent trends, providing no strong confirmation signal.
Wall Street analysts forecast UFPI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UFPI is 117.5 USD with a low forecast of 98 USD and a high forecast of 135 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast UFPI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UFPI is 117.5 USD with a low forecast of 98 USD and a high forecast of 135 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 102.500
Current: 102.500
