Textron Inc. (TXT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
Overview
The earnings call summary presents a stable financial outlook with reiterated earnings per share and cash flow guidance, alongside strong backlogs in aviation and systems, indicating robust demand. The accelerated MV-75 program and strategic focus on defense opportunities suggest future revenue growth and margin improvements. While supply chain challenges persist, efforts to address these are underway. The Q&A reveals management's strategic focus and confidence in program execution, despite some unclear responses. Overall, the positive elements outweigh the negatives, supporting a positive sentiment rating.
Key Financial Performance
Revenue Growth (Q4 2025) 16% increase year-over-year, driven by significant revenue growth across segments.
Segment Profit Growth (Q4 2025) 34% increase year-over-year, attributed to higher volumes and improved mix.
Adjusted EPS (Q4 2025) $1.73, up from $1.34 in Q4 2024, reflecting higher segment profit.
Full-Year Revenue Growth (2025) 8% increase year-over-year, driven by strong performance across segments.
Full-Year Segment Profit Growth (2025) 14% increase year-over-year, attributed to higher volumes and operational efficiencies.
Textron Aviation Revenue Growth (Q4 2025) 36% increase year-over-year, driven by higher aircraft deliveries and aftermarket revenues.
Textron Aviation Full-Year Revenue Growth (2025) 13% increase year-over-year, reflecting recovery from the 2024 strike and strong demand.
Bell Revenue Growth (Q4 2025) 11% increase year-over-year, driven by higher military revenues from the MV-75 program.
Bell Full-Year Revenue Growth (2025) 20% increase year-over-year, attributed to strong military and commercial performance.
Textron Systems Revenue Growth (Q4 2025) 4% increase year-over-year, driven by higher volume.
Textron Systems Full-Year Revenue Growth (2025) Slight increase year-over-year, overcoming headwinds from the Shadow program wind-down.
Industrial Revenue (Q4 2025) $821 million, down $48 million year-over-year, impacted by the divestiture of the Powersports business.
Manufacturing Cash Flow (Q4 2025) $510 million, up $204 million year-over-year, reflecting higher segment profit and operational improvements.
Full-Year Manufacturing Cash Flow (2025) $969 million, up $277 million year-over-year, driven by higher segment profit and operational efficiencies.
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Operating Highlights
Citation Ascend CJ3 Gen2 and M2 Gen2: Received FAA certification and began deliveries in 2025.
Beechcraft Denali Development Program: Logged over 3,200 hours of flight testing by the end of 2025.
MV-75 Program: Accelerated production with over 90% of engineering drawings completed, new manufacturing facilities opened, and components for the first 6 aircraft manufactured.
General Aviation Market: Textron Aviation backlog reached nearly $8 billion, with strong order flow and demand.
Military Market: Bell's military revenue grew 20% in 2025, driven by the MV-75 program and other opportunities like the Flight School Next Competition.
Revenue Growth: Textron achieved $14.8 billion in revenue for 2025, the highest in company history, with an 8% year-over-year increase.
Segment Profit Growth: Segment profit grew 14% in 2025, reaching $1.4 billion.
Manufacturing Investments: Opened new facilities for MV-75 production and expanded manufacturing capabilities for Textron Aviation and Bell.
Divestiture of Powersports Business: Streamlined Industrial segment portfolio, focusing on core growth areas.
eAviation Realignment: Integrated eAviation activities into other segments to leverage existing capabilities.
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Risk or Challenges
MV-75 Program Acceleration: The acceleration of the MV-75 program has led to higher costs than originally anticipated when the program was bid in 2021. This could result in an unfavorable cumulative catch-up program adjustment of $60 million to $110 million upon award of the LRIP option.
Industrial Segment Challenges: The Industrial segment faced challenging end markets, with Textron Specialized Vehicles experiencing a $72 million revenue impact from the divestiture of the Powersports business. Additionally, higher selling and administrative costs and lower volume and mix negatively impacted segment profit.
Textron eAviation Losses: The Textron eAviation segment reported a segment loss of $63 million for the full year, reflecting ongoing challenges in this area.
Supply Chain and Cost Pressures: The company is investing approximately $350 million in higher CapEx and long-lead materials to support LRIP on the MV-75 program, reflecting supply chain and cost pressures.
Bell Segment Margin Pressure: Bell's segment profit decreased by $9 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, despite revenue growth, indicating margin pressures.
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Guidance & Outlook
Revenue Projections: Textron projects revenues of approximately $15.5 billion for 2026, reflecting a 4.5% increase from 2025.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Adjusted EPS for 2026 is expected to be in the range of $6.40 to $6.60.
Manufacturing Cash Flow: Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions is projected to be between $700 million and $800 million in 2026, reflecting $350 million of higher CapEx and long-lead material investments for the MV-75 program.
Textron Aviation Revenue and Margin: Textron Aviation expects revenues of about $6.5 billion in 2026, representing approximately 9% growth over 2025. Segment margin is forecasted to be in the range of 11% to 12%.
Bell Revenue and Margin: Bell anticipates revenues of about $4.4 billion in 2026, reflecting low single-digit growth over 2025. Segment margin is expected to be between 8% and 9%. The MV-75 program is expected to transition to LRIP deliveries in 2028, with potential adjustments in 2026 or 2027.
Textron Systems Revenue and Margin: Textron Systems projects revenues of $1.35 billion in 2026, reflecting 7% growth over 2025. Segment margin is expected to be between 12% and 13%.
Industrial Segment Revenue and Margin: Industrial segment revenues are expected to be about $3.2 billion in 2026, reflecting low single-digit growth when adjusted for the Powersports divestiture. Segment margin is forecasted to be between 4.5% and 5.5%.
Research and Development (R&D): R&D expenses are expected to decrease to $480 million in 2026, down from $521 million in 2025.
Capital Expenditures (CapEx): CapEx is projected to increase to $650 million in 2026, up $383 million from 2025, primarily due to investments in the MV-75 program.
Tax Rate: The full-year adjusted effective tax rate for 2026 is expected to be approximately 20.5%.
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Shareholder Return Plan
Share Repurchase: During the quarter, Textron repurchased approximately 2.3 million shares, returning $187 million in cash to shareholders. For the full year, the company repurchased approximately 10.7 million shares, returning $822 million to shareholders.
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Key Q&A
Q:What are Lisa Atherton's top priorities as the new CEO of Textron?
A:Lisa Atherton outlined her top priorities as execution, portfolio focus, and building resilience. Execution involves ensuring each business delivers on commitments with operational rigor and cash discipline. Portfolio focus includes allocating capital to high-return opportunities, such as the MV-75 program. Building resilience involves investing in manufacturability, supply chain, and talent to ensure performance across cycles.
Q:How does Textron plan to achieve its aviation revenue guidance for 2026?
A:David Rosenberg stated that Textron's aviation revenue guidance for 2026 is $6.5 billion, up from $6 billion in 2025. This increase is based on higher deliveries and a similar aftermarket growth profile of around 6%. The margin cadence is expected to follow a seasonal pattern, starting 100-150 basis points below the midpoint of the guide and ending 100-150 basis points above it.
Q:What is the current status and future outlook for the MV-75 program?
A:Lisa Atherton explained that the Army has accelerated the MV-75 program, pulling it forward by 2.5 to 3 years. Aircraft deliveries for the EMD phase will continue through 2027, followed by immediate production without a gap. This acceleration allows the Army to train with the aircraft sooner and reach full-rate production within 5-6 years.
Q:What is Textron's approach to managing its portfolio and identifying growth opportunities?
A:Lisa Atherton emphasized an ongoing evaluation process for all businesses based on returns, cash generation, and strategic fit. She highlighted the success of smaller acquisitions like ATAC and the importance of vertical integration to address supply chain weaknesses. Textron disposed of its Powersports business in 2025 and will continue to focus on demonstrated performance and strategic alignment.
Q:How does Textron view its position in the autonomous systems market?
A:Lisa Atherton highlighted Textron's decades of experience in manufacturing reliable autonomous systems for air, land, and sea. She emphasized the company's strong offerings and partnerships with the Army, Air Force, and Marines, as well as its ability to compete with new entrants in the market.
Q:What are the challenges and recovery efforts in Textron's aviation supply chain?
A:Lisa Atherton noted that while significant recovery has been made, key components like engines remain a challenge. Textron has implemented in-house training programs to address workforce attrition and improve factory efficiency. David Rosenberg added that supply chain inefficiencies are still a slight headwind but represent an opportunity for improvement.
Q:What is the outlook for Textron's capital expenditures and cash deployment?
A:David Rosenberg stated that elevated capital expenditures will continue through 2026 and 2027 due to the accelerated MV-75 program. Textron plans to maintain a similar percentage of free cash flow deployment as in the past, focusing on R&D, share buybacks, and maintaining a strong debt ratio.
Q:What is the expected financial impact of the MV-75 program on Textron's revenue and margins?
A:David Rosenberg explained that the MV-75 program could lead to significant revenue increases, with production reaching 40-60 units per year. Bell's margins are expected to return to double digits as the program matures, with profitability accelerating due to the program's earlier-than-expected timeline.
Q:How does Textron plan to address concurrency risk in the MV-75 program?
A:Lisa Atherton expressed confidence in the MV-75 program due to its 15 years of development, over 200 hours of flight testing, and high first-pass yield on parts. She acknowledged that some issues may arise during testing but emphasized the program's strong foundation and readiness.
Q:What is Textron's strategy for leveraging a potential increase in defense budgets?
A:Lisa Atherton identified growth opportunities in hypersonics, thermal protective materials, the XM30 program, and the Marine Corps Armed Reconnaissance vehicle. She also highlighted the MV-75 program and Ship-to-Shore program as key areas of focus. Textron aims to align its offerings with the Department of Defense's priorities, including space-related defense initiatives.
Q:Is Textron considering adding a larger aircraft to the Cessna family?
A:Lisa Atherton stated that Textron is currently focused on the Denali program and plans to prioritize one clean-sheet design at a time. While there is no immediate plan for a larger aircraft, the company remains open to future opportunities.
Q:What is Textron's approach to logistics and support for the MV-75 program?
A:Lisa Atherton explained that Textron will likely adopt a performance-based logistics approach, working with the Army to establish organic capabilities and support aircraft in various locations. Service parts and repair will be stationed near key Army centers, such as Fort Campbell.
Q:Could there be a new life for the Scorpion program?
A:Lisa Atherton acknowledged that the Scorpion program was ahead of its time but aligned with current government priorities for affordable, low-cost platforms. While there are no immediate plans to revive the program, Textron remains open to opportunities that align with its capabilities and market needs.
Q:Review of Unclear Management Responses
A:Management appeared to avoid giving a direct answer to the question about whether Textron intends to grow or prune its portfolio. Lisa Atherton stated that portfolio management is not a binary choice and did not comment on specific assets, instead emphasizing an ongoing evaluation process based on returns, cash generation, and strategic fit. This response lacked clarity and specific details about Textron's future plans for its portfolio.
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Earnings Word Cloud
The most frequently occurring keywords in this quarter's earning call
ACC position
ATAC opportunity
ATAC standoff
Academy contract
Academy term
Advanced Manufacturing
Aerosonde ATAC
Air
Beechcraft
Center
Executive
Flight School
Force
Fort
Industrial
Kautex
LRIP
Lab
MV program
Pentatonic offering
TFV
Tier
Wichita
acceleration
aviation
customer
defense
example
fuselage
hour
industry
material
order flow
product portfolio
program Bell
progress
support
technology
TXT Transcript
Textron Inc. (TXT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive1-28
The earnings call summary presents a stable financial outlook with reiterated earnings per share and cash flow guidance, alongside strong backlogs in aviation and systems, indicating robust demand. The accelerated MV-75 program and strategic focus on defense opportunities suggest future revenue growth and margin improvements. While supply chain challenges persist, efforts to address these are underway. The Q&A reveals management's strategic focus and confidence in program execution, despite some unclear responses. Overall, the positive elements outweigh the negatives, supporting a positive sentiment rating.
Textron Inc. (TXT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive10-23
The earnings call and Q&A session highlight positive factors such as increased financial metrics, strong demand in aviation, and strategic program accelerations. Despite some supply chain challenges, the company shows confidence in meeting revenue targets. The management's clear responses and strong bookings in various segments further support a positive outlook. The reiterated guidance and increased cash flow projections add to the positive sentiment.
Textron Inc. (TXT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown7-24
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: while there is growth in aftermarket revenue and some contract awards, there are concerns over margins and cash flow. The Q&A highlights potential growth areas but also notes challenges in margins and capital requirements. The absence of a market cap makes precise prediction difficult, but the overall sentiment is balanced by both positive developments and financial pressures, resulting in a neutral outlook.
Textron Inc. (NYSE:TXT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown4-25
The earnings call summary indicates mixed results: strong revenue growth in some sectors, but decreased EPS guidance and increased cash outflows raise concerns. The Q&A section reveals uncertainty around tariffs and demand, further complicating the outlook. However, the share repurchase program and backlog growth provide positive signals. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no clear catalyst for a strong price movement in either direction.
TXT Slides
TXT Report
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