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TXO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TXO Partners LP (TXO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
12.670
1 Day change
0.40%
52 Week Range
20.080
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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TXO Partners LP is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock has seen a recent decline in its dividend payout, weak financial performance in the latest quarter, and hedge funds are selling heavily. While the forward yield remains attractive, the lack of strong positive catalysts and the absence of proprietary trading signals suggest holding off on investing right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 35.67, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading below key pivot levels, with support at 13.913 and resistance at 14.585.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • The forward yield of 9.58% is relatively attractive for income-focused investors. The company has shown a significant YoY revenue increase of 38.95% in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Dividend reduction by 14.3%, net income dropped to 0 (-100% YoY), EPS fell to -0.43 (-272% YoY), and hedge funds are selling heavily with a 3805.93% increase in selling activity last quarter.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 38.95% YoY to $125.93 million. However, net income dropped to 0 (-100% YoY), EPS fell to -0.43 (-272% YoY), and gross margin slightly decreased to 34.47% (-0.20% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Raymond James maintains a Strong Buy rating but lowered the price target from $20 to $18 due to weaker oil strip conditions.

Wall Street analysts forecast TXO stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TXO stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 12.620
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
Current: 12.620
sliders
Low
19
Averages
19
High
19
Stifel
Selman Akyol
Buy
maintain
$18 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
New
Reason
Stifel
Selman Akyol
Price Target
$18 -> $19
AI Analysis
2026-03-06
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Stifel analyst Selman Akyol raised the firm's price target on TXO Partners to $19 from $18 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm, which is updating its model to reflect Q4 results as well a follow-up call with management, believes TXO will continue executing development in the Williston in 2026. While noting crude oil prices are elevated, the firm would expect management to remain conservative and disciplined before allocating incremental development capital, the analyst added.
Raymond James
Strong Buy
maintain
$20 -> $18
2026-01-27
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$20 -> $18
2026-01-27
maintain
Strong Buy
Reason
Raymond James lowered the firm's price target on TXO Partners to $18 from $20 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares. The updated price target reflects a weaker oil strip since the firm's previous model update, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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