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TSLX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc (TSLX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
19.240
1 Day change
-0.93%
52 Week Range
25.160
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc (TSLX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the technical indicators show some positive momentum, the company's recent financial performance has been weak, with significant YoY declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, the options data suggests bearish sentiment, and there are no recent news catalysts or congress trading data to support a strong buy decision. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with some positive outlooks but also reduced price targets. Given the investor's profile and the lack of strong positive catalysts, it is better to hold off on purchasing this stock for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.182), indicating bullish momentum. RSI is at 78.432, which is neutral but nearing overbought levels. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in price direction. Key resistance levels are at 19.129 and 19.557, with support at 17.744 and 17.316. The pre-market price is $19.29, slightly above the first resistance level, indicating potential short-term upward movement.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high option volume put-call ratio (6.14) suggests bearish sentiment in the options market. Open interest put-call ratio (0.63) is relatively balanced but leans slightly bullish. Implied volatility is low (21.38), indicating limited price swings expected.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Insiders are buying significantly, with a 4784.76% increase in buying activity over the last month. Analysts have highlighted the company's strong credit track record and above-peer spreads.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down 26.66% YoY, net income down 41.24% YoY, and EPS down 41.82% YoY. Analysts have reduced price targets due to valuation concerns and lower multiples. No recent news or congress trading data to drive positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported a revenue drop of 26.66% YoY to $87.798M, net income down 41.24% YoY to $29.96M, and EPS down 41.82% YoY to $0.32. Gross margin slightly declined to 98.92%. Overall, the financials indicate a significant decline in profitability and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed on TSLX. Lucid Capital initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $21 price target, citing strong credit performance and differentiated lending models. However, JPMorgan, Keefe Bruyette, and Wells Fargo have lowered price targets, citing valuation headwinds, sensitivity to AI-risk, and challenges in finding attractive returns.

Wall Street analysts forecast TSLX stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLX stock price to rise
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 19.420
sliders
Low
23
Averages
23.4
High
24
Current: 19.420
sliders
Low
23
Averages
23.4
High
24
Lucid Capital
NULL -> Buy
initiated
$21
AI Analysis
2026-03-18
Reason
Lucid Capital
Price Target
$21
AI Analysis
2026-03-18
initiated
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Lucid Capital initiated coverage of Sixth Street with a Buy rating and $21 price target. The firm says Sixth Street operates one of the "more differentiated models" in the business development company sector. The company's lending opportunities have historically supported "above-peer spreads, strong unit economics, and a near top-of-class credit track record," the analyst tells investors in a research note.
JPMorgan
Melissa Wedel
Neutral
downgrade
$21
2026-03-13
Reason
JPMorgan
Melissa Wedel
Price Target
$21
2026-03-13
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Melissa Wedel lowered the firm's price target on Sixth Street to $18.50 from $21 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm reduced targets in the business development company space to reflect lower multiples and "higher scrutiny."
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