TROW Should I Buy
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T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 to invest. The technical indicators show a bearish trend, options data reflects a bearish sentiment, and analysts have recently lowered price targets due to concerns over equity outflows and mixed flow trends. While the company has shown positive financial performance in the latest quarter, the lack of strong positive catalysts and the current market sentiment suggest holding off on buying this stock for now.
The stock is in a bearish trend with the MACD histogram below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI at 38.308 in the neutral zone, and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support and resistance levels indicate a pivot at 94.552, with support at 92.271 and resistance at 96.833. The stock is trading below its pivot level, further indicating weakness.
The company reported strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 6.54% YoY, net income up 13.19% YoY, and EPS up 15.63% YoY. Additionally, T. Rowe Price offers an attractive dividend yield, which could appeal to long-term dividend-focused investors.
Analysts have lowered price targets and expressed concerns over equity outflows and mixed flow trends. The asset management industry is facing consolidation, which could increase competition. The stock's bearish technical indicators and options sentiment further weigh against a buy recommendation.
In Q4 2025, T. Rowe Price reported revenue of $1.934 billion, up 6.54% YoY, net income of $484.8 million, up 13.19% YoY, and EPS of $2.22, up 15.63% YoY. These figures indicate strong financial growth and profitability.
Analysts have recently lowered price targets, with the most recent targets ranging from $94 to $115. The ratings are mixed, with Equal Weight, Hold, Market Perform, and Underweight ratings dominating. Concerns include equity outflows, downward bias to fee rates, and limited EPS leverage.
