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TROW Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy T Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
99.140
1 Day change
1.06%
52 Week Range
118.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term perspective at this time. The stock's technical indicators, options sentiment, and recent analyst downgrades suggest limited upside potential in the near term. While the company has strong fundamentals, including no long-term debt and a consistent dividend history, the negative market sentiment and declining assets under management indicate caution. A hold recommendation is appropriate until market conditions improve or more positive catalysts emerge.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive but contracting, indicating weakening momentum. RSI is in the neutral zone at 77.808, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 95.939), with limited upside potential in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • The company has no long-term debt, strong risk management, and a 40-year history of increasing dividends. The target date retirement portfolios remain stable, reflecting strength in retirement investments.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • and significant net outflows ($13.7 billion in Q1

  • reflect cautious investor sentiment. The stock has declined 10% year-to-date, and analysts have consistently lowered price targets, citing market headwinds and negative EPS revisions.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q4, revenue increased by 8.17% YoY, net income rose by 1.38% YoY, and EPS grew by 3.65% YoY. While these figures indicate growth, the pace is modest, and recent market challenges may impact future performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have consistently lowered price targets, with the most recent targets ranging from $73 to $107. Ratings are predominantly neutral or negative, with 'Underweight,' 'Hold,' and 'Market Perform' being common.

Wall Street analysts forecast TROW stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TROW stock price to rise
0 Buy
4 Hold
3 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 98.100
sliders
Low
94
Averages
104.67
High
115
Current: 98.100
sliders
Low
94
Averages
104.67
High
115
Barclays
Underweight
downgrade
$94 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-04-17
New
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$94 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-04-17
New
downgrade
Underweight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on T. Rowe Price to $87 from $94 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm updated its asset manager models to reflect full quarterly flow and asset under management metrics ahead of the Q1 reports. Asset under management estimates fell due to negative markets in Q1, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Evercore ISI
Glenn Schorr
In Line
downgrade
$99 -> $96
2026-04-10
Reason
Evercore ISI
Glenn Schorr
Price Target
$99 -> $96
2026-04-10
downgrade
In Line
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Glenn Schorr lowered the firm's price target on T. Rowe Price to $96 from $99 and keeps an In Line rating on the shares.
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