Should You Buy T Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
TROW is not a good buy right now for an impatient investor. The setup is neutral-to-slightly bearish (MACD below zero, price sitting near the pivot with nearby resistance), proprietary signals show no edge today, and near-term event risk is elevated with earnings on 2026-02-04. If you must act immediately, the risk/reward is not compelling at ~105–106 unless it cleanly reclaims ~107.6 (R1) with momentum; otherwise, the odds favor churn toward support (~103.9) rather than a fast upside move.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.197 (below 0) and negatively contracting—bearish momentum is fading, but not reversed. RSI(6) ~50.6 is neutral, implying no strong impulse either way. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a clear trend.
Key levels: Pivot 105.719 is essentially current price (~105.68 regular, ~104.39 post). Near resistance at R1 107.553 (then R2 108.686) could cap upside. Supports at S1 103.886 (then S2 102.753) are close—meaning downside tests are plausible if momentum slips.
Pattern-based short-term odds: Similar-pattern stats suggest modest upside next day/week (+1.05% / +2.96%) but weaker next month (-1.25%), aligning with a range-bound-to-soft bias.
