Should I Buy TRIN? TRIN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Trinity Capital Inc (TRIN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

17.060

1 Day change

0.53%

52 Week Range

17.200

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Trinity Capital Inc (TRIN) does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the stock has some positive indicators such as insider buying and bullish technical trends, the lack of strong proprietary trading signals, recent negative news sentiment, and the potential for short-term downside risk outweigh the positives. A hold strategy is recommended until further clarity emerges.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a positive MACD histogram (0.0878), which suggests a bullish trend. However, the RSI is neutral at 67.788, and the stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 16.639). This indicates limited immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Insider buying has increased significantly by 318.55% over the last month, indicating confidence from company insiders.
Analysts have initiated coverage with Buy and Outperform ratings, with price targets of $17 and $17.50, suggesting potential upside.
Revenue and net income showed YoY growth in Q3 2025, indicating solid financial performance.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

GraniteShares Advisors fully exited its position in TRIN, citing diminished confidence in the company's future performance.
EPS dropped by -7.14% YoY in Q3 2025, which may raise concerns about profitability.
Stock trend analysis indicates a 60% chance of a -10.77% decline in the next week and a -5.75% decline in the next month, suggesting potential short-term downside risk.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 16.59% YoY to $66.23 million, and net income grew by 13.30% YoY to $27.65 million. However, EPS declined by -7.14% YoY to 0.39, indicating a potential issue with profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts from Lucid Capital and Citizens JMP initiated coverage with Buy and Outperform ratings, citing the stock's undervaluation and potential for long-term growth. Price targets are set at $17 and $17.50, slightly above the current pre-market price of $16.58.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TRIN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TRIN is 16.5 USD with a low forecast of 13.5 USD and a high forecast of 17.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

5 Buy

0 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 16.970

Low

13.5

Averages

16.5

High

17.5

Current: 16.970

Low

13.5

Averages

16.5

High

17.5

Citizens

Outperform

maintain

$19

AI Analysis

2026-01-27

New

Reason

Citizens

Price Target

$19

AI Analysis

2026-01-27

New

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Citizens raised the firm's price target on Trinity Capital to $19 from $17.50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The private capital industry is adjusting to a new operating backdrop marked by lower interest rates, creating mixed impacts across products but underscoring the importance of understanding underlying earnings drivers, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Scale and diversification should support resilient growth into 2026, making manager selection increasingly critical despite expectations for continued industry expansion, the firm says.

Lucid Capital

NULL -> Buy

initiated

$17

2025-12-11

Reason

Lucid Capital

Price Target

$17

2025-12-11

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Lucid Capital initiated coverage of Trinity Capital with a Buy rating and $17 price target. The firm believes believe Trinity should trade at 120% of its 2026 year-end net asset value per share estimate of $13.73. The company is well positioned to continue its financial outperformance, which should gradually translate into an improved trading valuation, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for TRIN

Unlock Now

TRIN Should I Buy

TRIN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Trinity Capital Inc (TRIN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch