Should I Buy TPVG? TPVG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

6.140

1 Day change

-0.97%

52 Week Range

8.200

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish trend, options data does not indicate strong bullish sentiment, and the company's financial performance in the latest quarter shows significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Without any positive news or catalysts, and given the lack of trading signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals, holding off on buying this stock is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding downward, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 37.116, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 6.445, and resistance is at 6.689. The stock has a 40% chance of declining in the short term based on candlestick pattern analysis.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The put-call ratios suggest a slightly bearish sentiment, with more call activity than puts, but overall low volume and open interest levels do not indicate strong investor conviction.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

NULL identified. There is no recent news or significant insider or hedge fund activity to suggest a positive catalyst.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

The company's financial performance in Q3 2025 shows significant declines in revenue (-16.18% YoY), net income (-32.70% YoY), and EPS (-33.33% YoY). Additionally, technical indicators and options data suggest a lack of bullish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue dropped to $29.64M (-16.18% YoY), net income fell to $15.23M (-32.70% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.38 (-33.33% YoY). Gross margin remained stable at 93.04%. Overall, the financials indicate a decline in profitability and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No data on recent analyst ratings or price target changes is available.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TPVG stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TPVG is 6.06 USD with a low forecast of 5.5 USD and a high forecast of 7.25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 6.200

Low

5.5

Averages

6.06

High

7.25

Current: 6.200

Low

5.5

Averages

6.06

High

7.25

UBS

Doug Harter

Neutral

downgrade

AI Analysis

2025-10-14

Reason

UBS

Doug Harter

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-10-14

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS analyst Doug Harter lowered the firm's price target on TriplePoint Venture to $5.50 from $6.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

UBS

Neutral

maintain

2025-07-16

Reason

UBS

Price Target

2025-07-16

maintain

Neutral

Reason

UBS raised the firm's price target on TriplePoint Venture to $7 from $6.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

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TPVG Should I Buy

TPVG Should I Buy

Should You Buy Triplepoint Venture Growth BDC Corp (TPVG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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