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TOST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Toast Inc (TOST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
27.460
1 Day change
0.22%
52 Week Range
49.660
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.
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Toast Inc (TOST) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. Despite a slight pre-market dip, the company's strong financial performance, hedge fund buying activity, and positive long-term growth prospects in the payments sector make it an attractive investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are mixed. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 35.56, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 27.237, with resistance at 28.807. This suggests limited downside risk and potential for a rebound.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment among options traders. Implied volatility is moderate, with an IV percentile of 63.35, suggesting the stock is not overly volatile.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 1237.22% increase in buying activity last quarter.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 22.05%, net income up 215.62%, and EPS up 240.00% YoY.

  • Analysts highlight Toast's competitive moat in the restaurant payments space and its potential as an AI winner.

  • Analysts maintain mostly positive ratings, with several firms keeping Buy or Outperform ratings despite lowering price targets due to market conditions.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Pre-market price is down 0.80%, and the broader market (S&P

  • is also down 0.65%, indicating short-term market weakness.

  • Analysts have lowered price targets across the board, citing multiple compression in the software and payments sector.

  • Technical indicators show bearish moving averages, which may limit short-term momentum.

Financial Performance

Toast reported strong Q4 2025 financials: Revenue increased by 22.05% YoY to $1.633 billion, net income surged 215.62% YoY to $101 million, and EPS grew 240.00% YoY to $0.17. Gross margin also improved to 25.9%, up 4.06% YoY, reflecting operational efficiency and growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook on Toast, with several firms keeping Buy or Outperform ratings. However, price targets have been lowered due to market conditions, with targets ranging from $33 to $45. Analysts highlight Toast's competitive moat, strong growth potential, and AI capabilities as key strengths.

Wall Street analysts forecast TOST stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TOST stock price to rise
13 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 27.400
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47
High
60
Current: 27.400
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47
High
60
Truist
Buy
downgrade
$42 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-25
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$42 -> $36
AI Analysis
2026-02-25
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Truist lowered the firm's price target on Toast to $36 from $42 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its model after the company's Q4 results, though while it expects Toast to be a beat and raise story throughout the year, the bad weather so far in Q1 may limit the top-line beat in the coming quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Truist
Matthew Coad
Buy
downgrade
$42 -> $36
2026-02-25
Reason
Truist
Matthew Coad
Price Target
$42 -> $36
2026-02-25
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Truist analyst Matthew Coad lowered the firm's price target on Toast to $36 from $42 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is updating its model after the company's Q4 results, though while it expects Toast to be a beat and raise story throughout the year, the bad weather so far in Q1 may limit the top-line beat in the coming quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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