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TMDX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Transmedics Group Inc (TMDX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
113.130
1 Day change
-2.36%
52 Week Range
156.000
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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TransMedics Group Inc (TMDX) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive growth outlook, and expansion plans outweigh the minor insider selling and neutral hedge fund sentiment. The current pre-market price of $110.45 is within a reasonable range, and the stock has long-term growth potential in the organ transplant market.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and contracting, suggesting bullish momentum. RSI is neutral at 44.632, and moving averages are converging, indicating a consolidation phase. Key support is at 99.609, and resistance levels are at 116.134 and 121.239. The stock is trading close to its pivot level of 107.872, showing potential for upward movement.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025 with revenue up 32.18% YoY and net income up 1436.87% YoY.

  • Expansion plans for the OCS kidney system and European markets.

  • Analysts maintain positive ratings, with price targets ranging from $118 to $175, indicating potential upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insider selling has increased by 186.38% in the last month.

  • Evercore ISI recently lowered its price target to $118 from $170, reflecting some cautious sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased to $160.76M (up 32.18% YoY), net income surged to $105.38M (up 1436.87% YoY), and EPS rose to 2.58 (up 1257.89% YoY). However, gross margin slightly declined to 58.11% (-1.86% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts generally maintain positive ratings, with multiple firms raising price targets following strong Q4 results. Recent price targets range from $118 to $175, with most firms highlighting growth potential in the organ transplant market and European expansion plans.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMDX stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMDX stock price to rise
9 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 115.870
sliders
Low
115
Averages
147.8
High
170
Current: 115.870
sliders
Low
115
Averages
147.8
High
170
Evercore ISI
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$170 -> $118
AI Analysis
2026-04-06
Reason
Evercore ISI
Price Target
$170 -> $118
AI Analysis
2026-04-06
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Evercore ISI lowered the firm's price target on TransMedics to $118 from $170 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as part of the firm's medical technology and life science tools Q1 preview.
Stifel
Hold
maintain
$115 -> $130
2026-03-09
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$115 -> $130
2026-03-09
maintain
Hold
Reason
Stifel raised the firm's price target on TransMedics to $130 from $115 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated models across its medical technology and supplies coverage following Q4 reporting from the group.
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