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TM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Toyota Motor Corp (TM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
221.010
1 Day change
0.67%
52 Week Range
248.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Toyota Motor Corp (TM) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock is oversold based on RSI and has potential for a slight rebound, the negative financial trends, lack of strong trading signals, and absence of significant positive catalysts make it prudent to hold off on buying for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI at 15.885 suggests the stock is oversold, which could indicate a potential rebound. However, moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its support level (S1: 221.835), with further downside risk towards S2: 215.425.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates a bearish sentiment with a higher put-call ratio in volume and open interest. Implied volatility is high (IV percentile: 88), suggesting elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Toyota's partnership with ELA Taubert enhances its cultural relevance and connection with younger consumers, which could support long-term brand engagement.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Net income and EPS have dropped significantly YoY (-43.29% and -42.73%, respectively), and gross margin has also declined (-7.45%). The MACD and options data reflect bearish sentiment, and there are no strong trading signals or recent congressional trading activity to support a buy.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue increased by 7.42% YoY, but net income dropped by 43.29%, EPS fell by 42.73%, and gross margin declined by 7.45%. This indicates revenue growth but significant profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

DZ Bank upgraded Toyota to Buy with a 4,600 yen price target, reflecting some optimism. However, no recent analyst activity strongly supports a buy decision.

Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 219.530
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 219.530
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
DZ Bank
Matthias Volkert
Sell
to
Buy
upgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
DZ Bank
Matthias Volkert
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
upgrade
Sell
to
Buy
Reason
DZ Bank analyst Matthias Volkert upgraded Toyota to Buy from Sell with a 4,600 yen price target.
BofA
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
$68 -> $70
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$68 -> $70
2026-01-16
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
BofA downgraded Taylor Morrison to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $70, up from $68. The firm is lowering its 2026 EPS estimates by 6%, noting that its 2026 EPS estimate is now about 18% below consensus. Taylor Morrison "screens attractively on valuation," but the firm sees the most downside risk compared to consensus EPS among builders on lower deliveries, the analyst tells investors.
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