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TM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Toyota Motor Corp (TM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
173.940
1 Day change
0.68%
52 Week Range
248.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/06/19
Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Toyota Motor Corp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term perspective. While the company has strong fundamentals and positive developments in its electrified vehicle lineup, the technical indicators show a bearish trend, and no significant trading signals are present. Additionally, options data reflects a bearish sentiment in the short term, and analysts' ratings are mixed. It would be prudent to wait for a better entry point or more bullish signals before investing.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating potential upward momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 38.247, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the pivot level of 176.053, with key support at 172.243 and resistance at 179.863. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a bearish trend.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data indicates bearish sentiment, with a higher volume of put options compared to call options. Implied volatility is moderate at 27.99, and the IV percentile of 49 suggests average volatility compared to the past year.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Toyota is expanding its electrified vehicle lineup, with plans to launch four fully electric models by the end of the year. The company has sold over 35 million electrified vehicles globally, maintaining a strong market position. Analysts highlight Toyota's profitability and robust demand for hybrid vehicles.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Bearish technical indicators and options sentiment suggest short-term downside risk. Analysts have mixed ratings, with some citing risks from high energy prices and weaker consumer confidence. The stock has a 60% chance of declining by 4.16% over the next week based on candlestick pattern analysis.

Financial Performance

No financial data is available for the latest quarter, making it difficult to assess recent growth trends. However, analysts have noted Toyota's higher profitability compared to peers and strong return on equity.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts' ratings are mixed. Freedom Broker upgraded the stock to Buy with a price target of $230, citing adaptation to the new operating environment. Morgan Stanley resumed coverage with an Equal Weight rating, highlighting risks from geopolitical tensions but expecting improvement in hybrid vehicle sales. Erste Group downgraded the stock to Hold, citing limited revenue growth due to high energy prices and weaker consumer confidence.

Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast TM stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 172.770
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 172.770
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Freedom Broker
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$221 -> $230
AI Analysis
2026-05-14
Reason
Freedom Broker
Price Target
$221 -> $230
AI Analysis
2026-05-14
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Freedom Broker upgraded Toyota to Buy from Hold with a price target of $230, up from $221. The firm believes the company is \"showing signs of adapting to the new operating environment.\" This positions Toyota for a recovery in financial performance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
Hiroto Segawa
resume
¥3,200
2026-05-01
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Hiroto Segawa
Price Target
¥3,200
2026-05-01
resume
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Hiroto Segawa resumed coverage of Toyota with an Equal Weight rating and 3,200 yen price target. The Middle East situation is a risk, but the firm expects mix improvement driven by a higher hybrid electric vehicle ratio, says the analyst, who adds that the firm's Equal Weight rating "has a positive bias."
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