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TKO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy TKO Group Holdings Inc (TKO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
199.020
1 Day change
1.85%
52 Week Range
226.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Given the mixed signals from technical analysis, options data, and analyst ratings, combined with the user's preference for long-term investment and beginner-level knowledge, TKO is not a strong buy at the moment. The stock's valuation appears to be priced in, and there are no immediate positive catalysts or trading signals to justify an entry point. Holding off for now is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-1.151) and contracting, suggesting bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 36.293, and moving averages are converging, indicating no clear trend. The stock is trading near its support level (S1: 188.998), with resistance at 195.503. Overall, technical indicators do not provide a strong buy signal.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high open interest put-call ratio indicates bearish sentiment, while the option volume put-call ratio also leans bearish. Implied volatility percentile is at 66.14, suggesting moderately high volatility.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are significantly increasing their positions, with a 966.71% increase in buying over the last quarter. Analysts have raised price targets, with some projecting up to $260, citing strong growth prospects and recurring revenue streams.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 345.87% increase in selling activity over the last month. Analysts have downgraded the stock due to valuation concerns, and some believe the stock's upside is already priced in. Additionally, financials show a significant YoY revenue drop (-27.31%), and there are no recent news or event-driven catalysts.

Financial Performance

In 2025/Q3, revenue dropped significantly by -27.31% YoY to $1.12B. However, net income increased by 77.23% YoY to $41M, and EPS grew by 67.86% YoY to 0.47. Gross margin improved substantially to 49.21%, up 83% YoY. While profitability metrics are improving, the revenue decline is a concern.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. While several analysts have raised price targets (e.g., Roth Capital to $260, Pivotal Research to $250), others have downgraded the stock due to valuation concerns (e.g., Wolfe Research to Peer Perform, Seaport Research to Neutral). The consensus suggests that the stock's valuation may already reflect its growth potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise
11 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 195.410
sliders
Low
210
Averages
229.42
High
251
Current: 195.410
sliders
Low
210
Averages
229.42
High
251
Citizens
Matthew Condon
Outperform
initiated
$240
AI Analysis
2026-03-30
New
Reason
Citizens
Matthew Condon
Price Target
$240
AI Analysis
2026-03-30
New
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Citizens analyst Matthew Condon initiated coverage of TKO Group with an Outperform rating and $240 price target. The firm says the media and entertainment sector \"is evolving alongside shifting consumer preferences.\" As AI advances, the migration toward streaming will accelerate, reflecting demand for personalized, on-demand viewing, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Citizens names Sphere Entertainment its top pick in the group.
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Buy
maintain
$240 -> $260
2026-03-05
Reason
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Price Target
$240 -> $260
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Eric Handler raised the firm's price target on TKO Group to $260 from $240 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is positive on the company's growth prospects which balance the highly visible, fully contracted, recurring media rights deals with the lengthy runway associated with fast rising Partnerships and Financial Incentive Packages, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Zuffa Boxing is also a nascent development opportunity with significant long-term potential, Roth adds.
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