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TKO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy TKO Group Holdings Inc (TKO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
205.580
1 Day change
0.74%
52 Week Range
226.940
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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TKO Group Holdings Inc is not an ideal buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. Despite some positive catalysts like hedge fund buying and a stable dividend payout, the stock's recent price decline, mixed analyst ratings, high insider selling, and lack of strong proprietary trading signals suggest a cautious approach. Additionally, the technical indicators do not strongly support a bullish entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.731), indicating bearish momentum. RSI_6 is at 29.304, which is neutral but close to oversold territory. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading below key pivot support levels (S1: 204.752, S2: 198.796), suggesting potential further downside.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high put-call ratios indicate bearish sentiment in the options market, with puts significantly outweighing calls in both open interest and volume.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are aggressively buying, with a 966.71% increase in buying activity over the last quarter.

  • Stable dividend payout of $0.78 per share, indicating consistent cash flow.

  • Positive long-term growth prospects highlighted by analysts, including Zuffa Boxing and media rights deals.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Insiders are selling heavily, with a 336% increase in selling activity over the last month.

  • Mixed analyst ratings, with recent downgrades citing valuation concerns.

  • Bearish sentiment in the options market, as reflected by high put-call ratios.

  • Recent price decline of -4.22% in the regular market and -0.85% pre-market.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue dropped significantly by -27.31% YoY to $1.12 billion, but net income increased by 77.23% YoY to $41 million. EPS rose by 67.86% YoY to 0.47, and gross margin improved by 83% YoY to 49.21%. While profitability metrics are improving, the revenue decline raises concerns.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. Some firms, like Roth Capital and BofA, raised price targets and maintain Buy ratings, citing strong growth prospects and solid Q4 results. However, others, like Wolfe Research and Seaport Research, downgraded the stock due to valuation concerns and lower-than-expected 2026 revenue outlook.

Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TKO stock price to rise
11 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 204.070
sliders
Low
210
Averages
229.42
High
251
Current: 204.070
sliders
Low
210
Averages
229.42
High
251
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Buy
maintain
$240 -> $260
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
Reason
Roth Capital
Eric Handler
Price Target
$240 -> $260
AI Analysis
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Eric Handler raised the firm's price target on TKO Group to $260 from $240 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm is positive on the company's growth prospects which balance the highly visible, fully contracted, recurring media rights deals with the lengthy runway associated with fast rising Partnerships and Financial Incentive Packages, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Zuffa Boxing is also a nascent development opportunity with significant long-term potential, Roth adds.
Wolfe Research
Peter Supino
Outperform -> Peer Perform
downgrade
2026-03-05
Reason
Wolfe Research
Peter Supino
Price Target
2026-03-05
downgrade
Outperform -> Peer Perform
Reason
Wolfe Research analyst Peter Supino downgraded TKO Group to Peer Perform from Outperform without a price target. The firm remains positive on TKO's growth strategies and live entertainment tailwinds. However, its analysis implies that TKO's valuation now prices in upside to multi-year consensus estimates. It cites valuation for the downgrade.
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