Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows some strengths like a strong balance sheet and increased backlog, but orders are down. Guidance indicates modest growth but declining margins due to tariffs. The Q&A reveals resolved production delays and potential in new products, yet lacks specifics on timelines, causing uncertainty. The market cap suggests moderate volatility. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant short-term stock price movement.
Revenue $108.9 million, a year-over-year decrease of 5%. Excluding revenue contributed from F.A.T.I., first quarter organic revenue decreased 11%. The decline was attributed to delayed backlog conversion and reduced customer demand amid ongoing market uncertainty related to tariffs.
OpEx Revenues $93.3 million, a decrease of 4% compared to last year. Excluding the contributions from F.A.T.I., OpEx revenues decreased 11% from the same period last year due to the delayed backlog conversion as well as the impact of tariff uncertainty. OpEx revenues represented 86% of total revenues for the quarter.
Large Project Revenue $15.6 million, down 11% from last year. The decline was due to project schedules shifting to the right, with execution anticipated to begin in quarter 2.
Gross Profit $48 million, a decrease of 5% compared to the first quarter last year. The revenue decline was partially offset by a more favorable revenue mix and tariff mitigation measures, including pricing benefits. Gross margin was 44.1%, up from 43.8% last year.
Adjusted EBITDA $21.2 million, down from $23.2 million last year, a decrease of 9%. The decline was due to the revenue decline combined with continued investments in growth initiatives. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 19.5%, down from 20.1% last year.
GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS) $0.26, up 4% from $0.25 in the prior year. Adjusted EPS was $0.36, down 5% from $0.38 last year. The decline in adjusted EPS was primarily driven by lower sales volumes and increased SG&A expenses, partially offset by improved gross margins and reduced interest expense.
Orders Decreased 5% on a reported basis and were down 19% organically. Orders were down across each geography, particularly in APAC due to tariff impacts. However, backlog increased 13% organically due to the positive book-to-bill in the quarter, combined with project execution timing.
Free Cash Flow $8.3 million, down modestly from $8.7 million last year. The decline was attributed to higher inventory as the company built stock for the fall heating season and purchased materials in advance of tariffs.
Net Debt $102.8 million, with a net leverage ratio of 1.0x. The company maintained a strong balance sheet and ended the quarter with total cash and available liquidity of $130.8 million.
Launch of Pontus and Poseidon load banks: Thermon launched the new Pontus and Poseidon load banks on July 28, 2025, targeting the growing liquid load bank market for data centers. This market is projected to grow from $84 million in 2024 to $386 million in 2032, with a CAGR of 21%.
Data center market opportunity: Thermon is targeting the data center market, which is shifting from air to liquid cooling. This shift is expected to increase demand for Thermon's legacy solutions like heat tracing and immersion heaters.
Rail and transit market growth: The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act has created a favorable demand environment for public transit and passenger rail systems. Thermon's rail and transit backlog has doubled over the last 12 months.
F.A.T.I. acquisition impact: The F.A.T.I. acquisition has positioned Thermon to capitalize on the growing electrification market in Europe. The backlog for F.A.T.I. has doubled in the last six months.
Gross margin improvement: Gross margin improved by 30 basis points year-over-year to 44.1%, driven by a strategic shift toward higher-margin OpEx revenues and tariff mitigation measures.
Revenue delays and backlog: First-quarter revenues were impacted by $10 million in delayed backlog conversion due to supply chain challenges and production delays. However, the backlog grew by 27% year-over-year.
Diversification strategy: Thermon is focusing on high-growth verticals such as data centers, transit systems, and electrification to leverage dynamic market trends and deliver sustainable shareholder value.
Revenue Decline: Year-over-year revenue declined by 5%, primarily due to temporary delays in backlog conversion and project execution timing. This poses a risk to achieving financial targets if delays persist.
Order Rate Softness: Incoming order rates experienced softness following Liberation Day, with a sharp decline in daily order rates in late April through May. Although recovery was noted, this fluctuation introduces unpredictability in revenue generation.
Supply Chain Challenges: Short-term supply chain challenges and an unanticipated production delay caused by a capital improvement project contributed to delayed backlog conversion, impacting revenue realization.
Tariff Uncertainty: Ongoing tariff uncertainties and recent announcements on August 1 create challenges in predicting input costs and customer behaviors, potentially affecting margins and demand.
Geographic Revenue Declines: Revenue in U.S.-LAM and Canada declined by 17% and 8%, respectively, due to delayed backlog conversion and reduced customer demand amid market uncertainty related to tariffs.
Large Project Delays: Large project revenues decreased by 11%, with many projects still in the engineering phase and execution schedules shifting to later quarters, delaying revenue recognition.
APAC Market Weakness: APAC revenue declined from $9 million to $6.6 million year-over-year, reflecting softer demand in the region, which could impact overall growth.
Margin Risk from Tariffs: While tariff mitigation efforts have been effective, there is ongoing margin risk for the balance of the year as the full impact of tariffs is felt.
Emerging Data Center Market Opportunity: Thermon launched the new Pontus and Poseidon load banks on July 28, 2025, to serve the growing demand for liquid load banks in data centers. The market for liquid load banks is expected to grow from $84 million in 2024 to $386 million in 2032, representing a 21% CAGR. This shift is driven by the transition from air to liquid cooling in data centers, with Thermon anticipating meaningful growth in this segment.
Rail and Transit Market Growth: The Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act has created a favorable demand environment for public transit and passenger rail systems. Thermon has seen its rail and transit backlog double over the last 12 months and is deploying capital to expand capacity to support this growth.
F.A.T.I. Acquisition and Electrification Market: The F.A.T.I. acquisition positions Thermon to capitalize on the growing electrification market in Europe. The backlog for F.A.T.I. has doubled in the last six months, and the company sees a solid pipeline of high-probability opportunities in this market.
Revenue Guidance for Fiscal 2026: Thermon expects revenue in the range of $495 million to $535 million for fiscal 2026, supported by a robust backlog and strong order trends.
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance for Fiscal 2026: The company projects adjusted EBITDA in the range of $104 million to $114 million for fiscal 2026.
Order and Backlog Trends: Thermon's backlog at the end of Q1 fiscal 2026 was up 27% year-over-year, and the total bid pipeline increased by 43%, driven by activity in key markets such as chemical, petrochemical, power and nuclear, LNG, and renewables.
Gross Margin and Tariff Mitigation: Gross margin improved to 44.1% in Q1 fiscal 2026, up from 43.8% in the prior year. The company implemented tariff mitigation measures, including prebuying materials, shifting sourcing and production, and price increases, to offset tariff impacts.
Share Repurchase Program: During the quarter, we returned nearly $10 million in capital through our share repurchase program. We will continue balancing capital allocation between opportunistic share repurchases and growth investments with a focus on driving returns for our shareholders. In May, we refreshed our repurchase authorization back to $50 million, with $44.5 million remaining under the current authorization. Since the start of fiscal 2025, we have repurchased $30 million in shares.
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong financial performance, optimistic guidance, and strategic growth initiatives. The company reported record revenue, improved margins, and increased backlog, indicating robust business momentum. Positive developments include raised revenue and EBITDA guidance, strong market positioning in data centers and medium voltage heaters, and healthy cash flow. The Q&A section highlights management's transparency and strategic focus on growth, with no negative surprises. Given the company's small-cap status, these positive factors are likely to result in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Thermon's earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 15% revenue increase, improved margins, and robust backlog growth. The company is capitalizing on emerging markets like data centers and LNG, with a 41% increase in large project revenue. The share repurchase plan further boosts shareholder confidence. Although there's some uncertainty in project timing, the overall outlook is positive, supported by strategic growth initiatives and financial flexibility. Given Thermon's small-cap status, the stock is likely to react positively, with a predicted movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Financial performance shows some strengths like a strong balance sheet and increased backlog, but orders are down. Guidance indicates modest growth but declining margins due to tariffs. The Q&A reveals resolved production delays and potential in new products, yet lacks specifics on timelines, causing uncertainty. The market cap suggests moderate volatility. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant short-term stock price movement.
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance with EPS and revenue beating expectations, a significant backlog increase, and a positive book-to-bill ratio. Despite challenges such as tariff impacts and a decline in large capital projects, the company maintained optimistic guidance. The share repurchase program and debt repayments further bolster shareholder confidence. While some uncertainties remain, particularly regarding tariffs, the overall sentiment is positive. Considering the small-cap market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is anticipated.
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