TECX Stock Price Prediction

Tectonic Therapeutic Inc

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18.920

-2.470(-11.550%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Tectonic Therapeutic Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TECX has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

TECX stock price ended at $18.92 on Tuesday, after losing -11.55%

The Tectonic Therapeutic Inc stock price decreased by -11.55% on the last trading day (06 May 2025), dropping from 20.88 to 18.92. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 13.30% , ranging from a day low of $18.705 to a day high of 21.1935. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.92% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 135.04K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 265.22K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.32M.

TECX Technical Signals

TECX(Tectonic Therapeutic Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-04-30. The total price change during this trend is -9.30%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of TECX over the last 5 trading days is 3.98M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

TECX Moving Average Analysis

Tectonic Therapeutic Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Wednesday, May 7, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $22.87053666666667, and $24.289666666666673. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $18.27879666666667, and $16.859666666666666. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TECX Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Tectonic Therapeutic Inc(TECX) as of 05 May 2025 is 36.14%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 21.75 to 21.39. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

1.587

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0127

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.57

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

18.92

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 5-day SMA

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

TECX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Tectonic Therapeutic Inc(TECX), our algorithm predicts TECX's 1-month price at $23.41, with an 7.66%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.31%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Tectonic Therapeutic Inc (TECX.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a 7.66% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IONQ.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.31%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TECX

Future prediction

Up: 7.66%

IONQ

Up: 7.66%Similarity: 94.31%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

IONQ.N

94.31%

+7.66%

BASE.O

94.19%

-33.15%

SSRM.O

94.16%

+19.76%

SLE.O

94.04%

+32.94%

AMC.N

93.93%

-1.05%

TECX Seasonality Analysis

Based on TECX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is57.14%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TECX. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at85.71%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Tectonic Therapeutic Inc (TECX.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (85.71%), while April has the lowest probability (14.29%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Tectonic Therapeutic Inc. (TECX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.