TECX Stock Price Prediction

Tectonic Therapeutic Inc

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21.650

-0.550(-2.480%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

Should I Buy Tectonic Therapeutic Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TECX has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

TECX stock price ended at $21.65 on Friday, after losing -2.48%

The Tectonic Therapeutic Inc stock price decreased by -2.48% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), dropping from 21.9 to 21.65. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.89% , ranging from a day low of $21.1 to a day high of 21.92. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 9.56% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 8.20K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 109.01K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.35M.

TECX Technical Signals

TECX(Tectonic Therapeutic Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 1 sell signal now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-05-09. The total price change during this trend is +9.56%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of TECX over the last 5 trading days is 4.61M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

TECX Moving Average Analysis

Tectonic Therapeutic Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Saturday, May 24, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $25.261703333333333, and $27.349333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $18.506963333333335, and $16.419333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TECX Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Tectonic Therapeutic Inc(TECX) as of 16 May 2025 is 22.52%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 20.69 to 20.99. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

2.949

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

1.89

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.66

Bullish

1 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Moving Average

Price crosses below 10-day SMA

Bearish

TECX Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Tectonic Therapeutic Inc(TECX), our algorithm predicts TECX's 1-month price at $21.46, with an 2.25%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.40%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Tectonic Therapeutic Inc (TECX.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 2.25% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ALKS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TECX

Future prediction

Up: 2.25%

ALKS

Up: 2.25%Similarity: 95.4%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ALKS.O

95.40%

+2.25%

RBKB.O

95.38%

+4.90%

GCMG.O

95.34%

+4.99%

MHLD.O

95.12%

-0.72%

CE.N

95.10%

-45.44%

HBM.N

94.95%

-10.03%

HUN.N

94.84%

-17.55%

TCX.O

94.65%

-7.01%

CBSH.O

94.60%

+0.09%

SB.N

94.53%

-20.57%

TECX Seasonality Analysis

Based on TECX's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is71.43%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TECX. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at85.71%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Tectonic Therapeutic Inc (TECX.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (85.71%), while April has the lowest probability (14.29%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Tectonic Therapeutic Inc. (TECX)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.